Joc Pederson's MLB Props - Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals 7/23

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Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be facing off against the Kansas City Royals on July 23, 2024, at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The Royals, currently third in the AL Central with a 56-45 record, have been on a hot streak with an impressive 8-2 record over their last 10 games. Their home performance has been stellar, boasting a 35-18 record. The Diamondbacks, sitting at 51-50 and third in the NL West, have also been competitive but have struggled slightly on the road with a 25-26 record.

Recent performances highlight the Royals' offensive prowess, ranking ninth in team slugging percentage at .409. Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout with 27 doubles, 10 triples, 18 home runs, and 69 RBIs. Salvador Perez has also been in great form, hitting four home runs and collecting 11 RBIs in his last 10 games. The Diamondbacks are not far behind, with Christian Walker leading the team with 22 home runs and a .486 slugging percentage. Eugenio Suarez has been hot as well, hitting four home runs and driving in 11 runs in the last 10 games.

This game is expected to be a thrilling encounter as both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities. The Royals will look to extend their home winning streak to five games, while the Diamondbacks aim to regain momentum on the road.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for Joc Pederson:

• Batter Doubles: 0.5 (Over +330)
• Batter Hits: 0.5 (Over -195)
• Batter Home Runs: 0.5 (Over +480)
• Batter RBIs: 0.5 (Over +130)
• Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 (Over -135)
• Batter Singles: 0.5 (Over +100)
• Batter Total Bases: 1.5 (Over +125)

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Player Analysis

Joc Pederson has been a key contributor for his team this season. With a batting average of .256, he has demonstrated his ability to get on base consistently. Pederson has hit 18 home runs and driven in 52 runs so far, making him a potent threat at the plate. His slugging percentage of .488 indicates his power-hitting capability, and he has also managed to draw 40 walks, showcasing his patience and eye at the plate.

Pederson's recent form has been strong, with several multi-hit games in the past couple of weeks. His ability to hit for power and average makes him a valuable asset for any prop bet involving hits, home runs, or total bases. Given the odds, his prop for hitting a home run (+480) and driving in runs (+130) could provide significant value for bettors.

Opposing Analysis

The Kansas City Royals will be sending Alec Marsh to the mound. Marsh has had an up-and-down season, posting a 4.52 ERA with a 7-6 record. He has struck out 84 batters in 91.2 innings, showing he has swing-and-miss stuff. However, he has also allowed 13 home runs, which could be an area Joc Pederson can exploit. The Royals' bullpen has been middling, with a combined ERA of 4.52, ranking 26th in the league. This could provide additional opportunities for Pederson to make an impact late in the game.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Jordan Montgomery (ARI)	6-5	6.44	45
Alec Marsh (KC)	7-6	4.52	84

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Team Previews

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have been a solid offensive team, ranking ninth in team batting average at .252. They have scored 469 runs and hit 836 times, placing them in the top 15 in both categories. The pitching staff has also been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.71, ranking seventh in the league. Their defense, however, has been a bit shaky with 48 errors, ranking them 21st in the league.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals have been one of the better offensive teams this season, ranking third in total runs scored with 495 and eighth in hits with 861. Their team batting average of .252 is slightly better than the Diamondbacks. However, their pitching has struggled, with a team ERA of 4.52, which ranks 26th. Despite the pitching woes, their strong offense has kept them competitive.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Jordan Montgomery	SP	15-Day IL (knee)
Blake Walston	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Merrill Kelly	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kyle Nelson	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Drey Jameson	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Player	Position	Injury Status
MJ Melendez	LF	10-Day IL (ankle)
Dan Altavilla	RP	60-Day IL (oblique)
Josh Taylor	RP	60-Day IL (biceps)
Kyle Wright	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Chicago	W 5-2	W
@ Chicago	W 3-0	W
@ Chicago	L 2-1 F/10	L
@ Kansas City	L 10-4	L

Kansas City Royals

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Chicago	W 7-1	W
vs Chicago	W 6-1	W
vs Chicago	W 4-1	W
vs Arizona	W 10-4	W

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Prediction

Given Joc Pederson's recent form and the struggles of Alec Marsh with giving up home runs, a prop bet on Pederson to hit a home run at +480 offers great value. Additionally, considering his overall performance, betting on Pederson to collect more than 1.5 total bases at +125 is also a strong pick.

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