JJ Bleday MLB Props - Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics 7/22

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 22, 2024, 8:04:23 PM
JJ Bleday's MLB Props - Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics 7/22
Game Summary
The Houston Astros (52-47, first in the AL West) take on the Oakland Athletics (39-62, fifth in the AL West) at the Oakland Coliseum on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 9:40 p.m. EDT. This matchup comes on the heels of an impressive cycle by Yordan Alvarez against the Mariners on Sunday, showcasing the Astros' offensive prowess. The Athletics, despite their struggles this season, have shown resilience at home with a 24-26 record. However, their overall performance has been lackluster, as evidenced by their 21-42 record when conceding at least one home run. Meanwhile, the Astros have been slightly better on the road with a 24-26 record and have shown a penchant for close games, although their 7-17 record in one-run games indicates they often fall short in tight contests. Houston leads the season series 6-1 against Oakland, highlighting their dominance in this matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
For JJ Bleday, the following player props are available:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+290)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+290)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+175)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)
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Player Analysis
JJ Bleday has been a key contributor for the Athletics this season. With a batting average of .261, he has consistently been one of the more reliable hitters in the Oakland lineup. Bleday’s ability to get on base and produce runs has been vital, as evidenced by his notable 2024 season stats. In recent games, Bleday has shown a knack for clutch hitting, especially in crucial situations. Over the past 10 games, he has demonstrated an impressive ability to hit for power and average, contributing significantly to the Athletics’ offense. Given his recent form, betting on Bleday to exceed his prop odds seems like a wise choice.
Opposing Analysis
Spencer Arrighetti, the scheduled starting pitcher for the Astros, has had a challenging season. With a record of 4-7, an ERA of 5.63, and a WHIP of 1.60, Arrighetti has often struggled to keep opposing hitters at bay. His propensity to allow base runners and hits makes him a favorable matchup for Bleday, who thrives in such conditions. The Astros’ bullpen has also shown vulnerability, ranking 24th in ERA (4.44). This further augments the potential for Bleday to have a productive outing, as he will likely face a combination of struggling starters and relievers.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 4-7 | 5.63 | 1.60 | 93 |
| Hogan Harris (OAK) | 1-3 | 3.40 | 1.45 | 35 |
Team Previews
Houston Astros
The Astros have been solid but not spectacular this season. With a 52-47 record, they lead the AL West but have shown inconsistency, particularly in close games. Offensively, they rank 26th in hits (773) and 21st in runs (416), with a team batting average of .230. Their pitching staff, however, has been a mixed bag, evidenced by their 24th-ranked ERA (4.44) and a bullpen that has struggled to close out games, ranking 28th in saves (18). Defensively, the Astros have committed 61 errors, ranking 5th in the league.
Oakland Athletics
The Athletics have had a tough season overall but have shown glimpses of potential. They rank 2nd in hits (888) and 9th in runs (468), with the highest team batting average in the league (.261). Their pitching staff has been middle-of-the-pack, with a 16th-ranked ERA (4.00). Defensively, they have been solid, committing only 41 errors, ranking 29th. Despite their struggles, the A's have a 24-26 home record, indicating they can be competitive at the Oakland Coliseum.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Caratini | C | 10-Day IL (hip) |
| Justin Verlander | SP | 15-Day IL (neck) |
| Cristian Javier | SP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Kyle Tucker | OF | 10-Day IL (shin) |
| Jacob Wilson | SS | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Luis Medina | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-6 | L |
| vs Los Angeles | 8:10 PM | NaN |
| vs Pittsburgh | 8:10 PM | NaN |
Oakland Athletics
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Los Angeles | 13-3 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | 8-2 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | 5-8 | L |
| vs Houston | 9:40 PM | NaN |
| vs Chicago | 9:40 PM | NaN |
Prediction
Considering JJ Bleday's recent form and Spencer Arrighetti's struggles on the mound, our pick is to bet on JJ Bleday exceeding 1.5 total bases (+120). Bleday has been consistent in getting hits, and against a pitcher with a high ERA and WHIP, the odds are favorable for him to have a productive night at the plate.
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