Javier Baez Player Props: Tigers vs Mariners 8/7

Javier Baez Player Props: Tigers vs Mariners 8/7

### Game Summary The Detroit Tigers are set to face off against the Seattle Mariners on August 7, 2024, at T-Mobile Park, Seattle, with the Mariners trailing the series 1-0. The Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 54-60 and are currently sitting fourth in the AL Central, while the Mariners boast a record of 59-55 and are leading the AL West. The Tigers are struggling with a recent form indicating a 3-7 record in their last ten games, with only a .201 batting average and a 5.09 ERA, having been outscored by 26 runs. Their pitching ace, Tarik Skubal (12-4, 2.57 ERA, 162 strikeouts), has been a beacon of hope, leading from the mound. On the other hand, the Mariners are showing a bit more resilience, with a 6-4 record in their last ten games, a .238 batting average, and a 4.20 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 13 runs. Historically, the Mariners have a slight edge over the Tigers, particularly in their home games. The Mariners have been solid at home, going 33-25 this season, while the Tigers are just 28-29 on the road. With a total of 131 home runs hit this season, the Mariners are ranked sixth in the AL, while the Tigers have struggled to find their offense consistently. This matchup promises to be crucial for both teams as they look to gain momentum heading into the latter part of the season.
### Player Prop Odds - **Batter Hits**: Over 0.5 (-150) - **Batter RBIs**: Over 0.5 (+250) - **Batter Runs Scored**: Over 0.5 (+195) - **Batter Singles**: Over 0.5 (-110) - **Batter Total Bases**: Over 1.5 (+195) - **Batter Doubles**: Over 0.5 (+460)
### Player Analysis Javier Baez has had an up-and-down season with the Tigers, but he remains a key player in their lineup, known for his electrifying batting and base running skills. Currently, Baez holds a batting average of .181 with four home runs and 33 RBIs. While his average may not be ideal, he has the potential to hit for power, especially against right-handed pitchers like George Kirby, which makes him a viable option for total bases and RBIs. In the last ten games, Baez has struggled, hitting just 44-for-243 overall this season, but his speed and ability to draw walks can create opportunities for scoring runs. Given the Mariners' pitching staff, he might find favorable matchups that could lead to him adding to his total bases.
### Opposing Analysis The Mariners will send George Kirby (8-7, 3.04 ERA, 131 strikeouts) to the mound. Kirby has been effective, especially at home, and has shown an ability to limit runs effectively. However, he can be vulnerable against aggressive hitters like Baez, who may capitalize on any mistakes. The Mariners' lineup has been known to struggle against left-handed pitchers, which could bode well for Baez's chances if he can get on base early.
### Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Tarik Skubal	Detroit Tigers	12-4	2.57	162
George Kirby	Seattle Mariners	8-7	3.04	131

### Team Previews **Detroit Tigers**: - **Hitting**: The Tigers have struggled offensively, ranking 30th in hits (813) and 27th in runs (449) this season. They have a dismal batting average of .218. - **Starting Pitching**: With Skubal leading the charge, the Tigers boast a solid starting pitching rotation with a combined ERA of 3.48. - **Relief Pitching**: Their bullpen has recorded an average of 29 saves, but the ERA is concerning at 4.50. **Seattle Mariners**: - **Hitting**: The Mariners are ranked 25th in hits (878) and 20th in runs (474), with a batting average of .230. They have excelled in power numbers, though, hitting 131 home runs this season. - **Starting Pitching**: Kirby is a crucial part of the Mariners' success. The team has a collective ERA of 3.99. - **Relief Pitching**: The Mariners' bullpen has 24 saves, which has been a strength in close games.
### Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Riley Greene	OF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Julio Rodriguez	OF	Ankle	10-Day IL

### Recent Games **Detroit Tigers Recent Games**

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Seattle	W 4-2	W
vs Kansas City	L 3-2	L
vs Kansas City	W 6-5	W
vs Kansas City	L 9-2	L
vs Minnesota	L 9-3	L

**Seattle Mariners Recent Games**

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Detroit	L 4-2	L
vs Philadelphia	L 6-0	L
vs Philadelphia	W 6-5 F/10	W
vs Philadelphia	W 10-2	W
@ Boston	L 3-2 F/10	L

### Prediction Given the current form of both teams and individual performances, I believe Javier Baez will have a significant impact on this game. I recommend betting on Javier Baez to record over 0.5 hits (-150) and over 0.5 RBIs (+250). Considering his matchups against Kirby, he has the potential to capitalize on scoring opportunities, especially if he can get on base early in the game.