Jake McCarthy MLB Props - Diamondbacks vs Royals 7/22

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 22, 2024, 8:08:30 PM
Jake McCarthy's MLB Props - Diamondbacks vs Royals 7/22
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks (51-49, 2nd in the NL West) are set to face off against the Kansas City Royals (55-45, 3rd in the AL Central) on Monday, July 22, 2024, at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The game is scheduled for 8:10 PM EDT. The Diamondbacks are coming off a challenging series against the Chicago Cubs, where they managed to secure two wins out of three games, demonstrating their resilience. On the other hand, the Royals have been in excellent form, sweeping the Chicago White Sox in their last series.
Historically, the Royals have had the upper hand in matchups against the Diamondbacks, but the current season's dynamics suggest a more balanced contest. Kansas City's home record (34-18) makes them a formidable opponent at Kauffman Stadium, while Arizona's road record (25-25) indicates they can hold their ground away from home. This game marks the first meeting of the season between these two teams, adding an element of unpredictability and excitement.
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Player Prop Odds
Batter Doubles Over 0.5 (+480)
Batter Hits Over 0.5 (-185)
Batter RBIs Over 0.5 (+220)
Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+140)
Batter Singles Over 0.5 (-125)
Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.5 (+280)
Batter Total Bases Over 1.5 (+170)
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Player Analysis
Jake McCarthy has been an integral part of the Arizona Diamondbacks' lineup this season. Known for his speed and ability to get on base, McCarthy has a batting average of .263 with 14 doubles, 3 triples, and 7 home runs. He has also contributed 29 RBIs and 43 runs scored. His on-base percentage of .329 and slugging percentage of .408 underline his capability to make significant contributions both in terms of hitting and base running.
McCarthy's recent form has been impressive, with a .289 batting average over the last 10 games, which includes 11 hits, 2 doubles, and 5 RBIs. His ability to steal bases (15 stolen bases this season) makes him a consistent threat on the bases. Given his current form and the matchups, McCarthy is poised to continue his productive run.
Opposing Analysis
The Kansas City Royals will be starting Cole Ragans on the mound. Ragans has posted a solid 6-6 record with a 3.16 ERA and 141 strikeouts over 116.2 innings pitched. Ragans has been effective in limiting opposing hitters, holding them to a .220 batting average. However, he has allowed 95 hits, which indicates that there are opportunities for hitters like McCarthy to capitalize.
The Royals' bullpen has been reliable, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking sixth in the AL. However, their relief pitchers have shown vulnerability in allowing runs late in games, which could play into McCarthy's favor, especially if he gets on base in the later innings.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yilber Diaz (ARI) | 1-0 | 1.50 | 7 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6-6 | 3.16 | 141 |
Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have had a solid season with a 51-49 record. Offensively, they are ranked 11th in the league with a .248 team batting average, accumulating 459 runs and 821 hits. Their pitching staff has also been effective, posting a team ERA of 3.71, which ranks 7th in MLB. Defensively, they have committed 47 errors, ranking 23rd.
Kansas City Royals
The Royals have been strong with a 55-45 record. They have a team batting average of .252, ranking 9th, and have scored 491 runs, ranking 4th. Their pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.45, which is 25th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 42 errors, ranking 28th.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery | SP | 15-Day IL (knee) |
| Blake Walston | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| MJ Melendez | LF | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Dan Altavilla | RP | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
Recent Games
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| Arizona Diamondbacks | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W 5-2 | Win |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W 3-0 | Win |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L 2-1 (F/10) | Loss |
| Kansas City Royals | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Chicago | W 7-1 | Win |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Chicago | W 6-1 | Win |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Chicago | W 4-1 | Win |
Prediction
Given Jake McCarthy's recent form and his ability to get on base and steal bases, we predict that he will have a productive game against Cole Ragans and the Royals' pitching staff. The prop bet for McCarthy to record over 0.5 hits at -185 is a strong pick, considering his recent hitting streak and the opportunities he will have against a pitcher who allows a significant number of hits.
Pick: Over 0.5 hits (-185)
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