Jake Burger's MLB Props - Orioles vs Marlins 7/23

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Game Summary

The Baltimore Orioles (60-39, first in the AL East) will visit the Miami Marlins (35-65, fifth in the NL East) at loanDepot Park in Miami, Florida, on Tuesday, July 23, 2024, at 6:40 PM EDT. The Orioles are coming off a road trip where they have performed admirably, holding a 30-17 road record. The Marlins, however, have struggled both overall and at home, with a 20-33 home record.

In historical matchups, the Orioles have had the upper hand, and with their current form, they look set to continue their dominance. The Marlins, despite their struggles, have managed to pull off some surprising wins, making them an unpredictable team. Both teams will be looking to make a statement in this series opener.

Recent performances highlight that the Orioles have a better batting average at .253, ranking eighth in MLB, while the Marlins are batting .242. The Orioles have been slightly outscored in their last ten games, but their strong hitting lineup, featuring Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson, gives them an edge. The Marlins, led by Jazz Chisholm and Jake Burger, have shown flashes of brilliance but need more consistency.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for Jake Burger in the upcoming game:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+300)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+440)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+155)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110)

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Player Analysis

Jake Burger has been a standout player for the Miami Marlins. Over the past ten games, he has been on fire, going 13-for-40 with three doubles and four home runs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs has been instrumental for the Marlins. Burger's season stats include 12 doubles, four triples, and 13 home runs, demonstrating his power and hitting prowess. With an average of .265 over the last ten games, he is a key player to watch in this matchup.

Opposing Analysis

Baltimore Orioles' starter Albert Suarez has been formidable this season. With a 5-3 record, a 2.82 ERA, and 55 strikeouts over 70.1 innings, Suarez has been a reliable pitcher for the Orioles. Opponents are hitting just .234 against him, and he has limited damage by allowing only 4 home runs this season. The Marlins' lineup will have to be sharp to get past Suarez.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Albert Suarez (BAL)	5-3	2.82	55
Kyle Tyler (MIA)	0-1	3.38	10

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Team Previews

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles have been solid on both sides of the ball. Their hitting, led by Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson, has been crucial. Santander has 27 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Henderson boasts a .290 average with 28 home runs. The Orioles' pitching staff, including probable starter Albert Suarez, has been effective with a team ERA of 4.52. However, their fielding has had issues with 71 errors, the most in the league.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins have struggled this season, but players like Jazz Chisholm and Jake Burger provide hope. Chisholm has 12 doubles and 13 home runs, while Burger has been clutch recently. The Marlins' pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.68, has been better than their record suggests. However, their defense has been a weak point with 44 errors. The Marlins need a complete team effort to challenge the Orioles.

Team Injuries

Baltimore Orioles Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Ramon Urias	3B	Neck	Day-to-day
Danny Coulombe	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Kyle Bradish	SP	UCL Sprain	60-Day IL
Tyler Wells	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
John Means	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Felix Bautista	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Miami Marlins Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Dane Myers	RF	Ankle	10-Day IL
Ryan Weathers	SP	Finger	60-Day IL
Sixto Sanchez	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Braxton Garrett	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Jesus Luzardo	SP	Back	60-Day IL
Josh Simpson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Eury Perez	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Sandy Alcantara	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Baltimore Orioles

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Texas	W 9-1	W
Sat, Jul 20	@ Texas	W 8-4	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Texas	L 3-2	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Miami	6:40 PM	N/A
Wed, Jul 24	@ Miami	6:40 PM	N/A

Miami Marlins

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs New York	W 6-4	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs New York	L 1-0	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs New York	W 4-2	W
Mon, Jul 22	vs New York	L 6-4	L
Tue, Jul 23	vs Baltimore	6:40 PM	N/A

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Prediction

Given Jake Burger's recent form and the odds presented, the most attractive prop bet appears to be the Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110). Burger has been hitting well, and with his power, he is likely to exceed this mark against the Orioles. The combination of his ability to hit doubles and home runs makes this bet a solid choice.

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