Jack Suwinski's MLB Props - Cardinals vs. Pirates 7/23
Game Summary:
The St. Louis Cardinals (52-48, second in the NL Central) will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (51-49, third in the NL Central) on Tuesday, July 23, 2024, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The game starts at 6:40 p.m. EDT. The Pirates currently lead the series 1-0.
Both teams are vying for better positions within the NL Central standings. The Pirates have an overall record of 51-49 and are 25-25 at home. Their team ERA of 3.83 is ranked sixth in the NL. Bryan Reynolds has been a standout for the Pirates, with 20 doubles, three triples, and 18 home runs, hitting .288. Oneil Cruz has also been hot, going 12-for-37 with four doubles and three home runs in his last 10 games.
On the other side, the Cardinals have a record of 52-48 and are 26-26 on the road. They are 38-19 in games where they record eight or more hits. Nolan Arenado is a key player for the Cardinals, with 14 doubles and nine home runs. Alec Burleson has been instrumental lately, going 15-for-41 with three doubles and four home runs over the last 10 games.
Historically, the Cardinals lead the season series 4-3. The Pirates have been in better form recently, going 8-2 in their last 10 games, while the Cardinals are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds:
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Jack Suwinski:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-135)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+150)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+190)
Player Analysis:
Jack Suwinski has been a consistent performer for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. So far, Suwinski has been instrumental in providing offensive support, particularly in clutch situations. He is hitting .250 with 14 home runs, 35 RBIs, and an on-base percentage of .330. His ability to hit for power and average makes him a valuable asset in the Pirates' lineup.
In his last 10 games, Suwinski has shown a slight uptick in form, hitting .270 with two home runs and seven RBIs. His performance will be crucial for the Pirates as they aim to maintain their momentum and secure a better position in the NL Central standings.
Opposing Analysis:
The St. Louis Cardinals will be starting Lance Lynn on the mound. Lynn has a record of 5-4 with an ERA of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.39. While Lynn has been solid, he has shown vulnerability, particularly against left-handed hitters like Suwinski. The Cardinals' pitching staff has an ERA of 3.97, ranked 15th in the league, indicating that they are solid but not invincible.
The Cardinals’ bullpen, while reliable, has had its struggles, especially in high-leverage situations. This could present opportunities for Suwinski to capitalize late in the game.
Pitching Probables:
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn (STL) | 5-4 | 4.39 | 1.39 | 96.1 | 97 | 92 | 37 | 14 |
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6-0 | 1.90 | 0.92 | 66.1 | 48 | 89 | 13 | 7 |
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Team Previews:
St. Louis Cardinals:
The Cardinals have struggled with consistency this year. Offensively, they rank 26th in batting average (.233) and 23rd in runs (416). Their pitching has been a bit more reliable, with a team ERA of 3.83, ranking 12th in the league. However, their defense has been shaky, committing 50 errors, ranking them 19th.
The Cardinals will rely heavily on their stars like Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt to generate offense. Their bullpen, led by Giovanny Gallegos and Ryan Helsley, will also need to be effective to close out the game.
Pittsburgh Pirates:
The Pirates have been a pleasant surprise this season. They rank 13th in batting average (.246) and have scored 416 runs. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.97, ranking 15th. The Pirates' bullpen, led by David Bednar, has been effective in high-leverage situations.
Offensively, the Pirates have been led by Bryan Reynolds, who is hitting .288 with 18 home runs. Jack Suwinski and Oneil Cruz have also contributed significantly. The Pirates' defense has been solid, committing 46 errors, ranking them 25th.
Team Injuries:
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | SP | Mon, Jul 22 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Tommy Edman | 2B | Mon, Jul 22 | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Mon, Jul 22 | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
| Hunter Stratton | RP | Mon, Jul 22 | Triceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Bailey Falter | SP | Mon, Jul 22 | Triceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Jared Jones | SP | Mon, Jul 22 | Lat | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Recent Games:
St. Louis Cardinals:
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed |
| @ Atlanta | 3-2 F/10 | L |
| @ Atlanta | 9-5 | W |
| @ Atlanta | 6-2 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | 2-1 | L |
Pittsburgh Pirates:
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 0-6 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 2-1 | W |
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Prediction: Jack Suwinski Over 0.5 Hits (-135)
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