© Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

Jack Flaherty MLB Player Prop: NLCS Game 5 - Dodgers vs Mets

With the Los Angeles Dodgers leading the NLCS 3-1, they face the New York Mets in Game 5 at Citi Field. Jack Flaherty is on the mound for the Dodgers, and his strikeouts prop is set at over 5.5 (-150). We’ll take a closer look at Flaherty’s recent performance and the matchup to assess whether backing the over or under on this strikeout prop is a smart play.

Game Odds

Team	Moneyline	Run Line	Over/Under
Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64)	-135	-1.5 (+125)	Over 7.5 (-105)
New York Mets (89-73)	+115	+1.5 (-150)	Under 7.5 (-115)

The Dodgers are favored to win Game 5, with a total set at 7.5 runs, suggesting a fairly tight, low-scoring affair. Flaherty’s strikeout prop is priced at over 5.5 strikeouts (-150), indicating strong confidence in his ability to punch out a significant number of Mets hitters.

Team Analysis

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers have dominated this series, winning three of the first four games. They’re looking to close out the NLCS and secure a trip to the World Series. Jack Flaherty has been a key part of the Dodgers’ rotation all season, posting a 3.17 ERA and 194 strikeouts over 162 innings in 2024.

New York Mets

The Mets have struggled to make consistent contact against Dodgers pitching in this series, striking out 22 times in the last two games combined. With Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor leading the lineup, the Mets will need to adjust their approach at the plate to avoid falling victim to Flaherty’s strikeout prowess.

Jack Flaherty’s Recent Performance

Flaherty has been reliable in terms of generating strikeouts, and his recent outings highlight this consistency:

• October 13 vs. Mets (NLCS Game 1): 7.0 innings, 6 strikeouts.
• October 6 vs. Padres: 5.1 innings, 2 strikeouts.
• September 25 vs. Padres: 5.0 innings, 5 strikeouts.
• September 19 vs. Marlins: 6.0 innings, 5 strikeouts.
• September 8 vs. Guardians: 7.1 innings, 6 strikeouts.

In four of his last five starts, Flaherty has recorded at least 5 strikeouts, and he exceeded the 5.5 strikeout mark in three of those games. With his pitch efficiency and strikeout ability, Flaherty is in a good position to surpass this total once again in Game 5.

Mets Hitters vs. Jack Flaherty

Flaherty has had success against most of the Mets’ lineup, limiting hard contact while striking out key hitters. Notable matchups include:

• Pete Alonso: 2-for-5 (.400), 2 strikeouts
• Starling Marte: 4-for-25 (.160), 8 strikeouts
• Mark Vientos: 0-for-3, 2 strikeouts

With multiple strikeout-prone hitters like Marte and Vientos in the Mets lineup, Flaherty is poised to rack up strikeouts against a team that has struggled to make consistent contact this postseason.

Betting Stats and Trends

• Jack Flaherty strikeouts prop: Flaherty has gone over 5.5 strikeouts in three of his last five starts.
• Mets strikeout rate: The Mets struck out 10 times in Game 4 and 12 times in Game 3 of this series.
• Dodgers playoff success: Dodgers pitchers have consistently racked up strikeouts against the Mets this series, with the team averaging 9.5 strikeouts per game.

Prediction