Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 5 (9/5): MLB

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 5 (9/5): MLB

Credit: photo by   Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Rangers money line +139
Rangers run line +1.5 (-150)
Astros money line -165
Astros run line -1.5 (+130)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Texas Rangers  Houston Astros
Record 58-75 86-48
Home / road record 30-37 43-20
Last 10 record 2-8 7-3
Streak L8 W1
Over / under record 66-57-10 50-76-8
Runs / game 4.52 4.50
Runs allowed / game 4.58 3.29

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Texas Rangers will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Minute Maid Park. The Astros won their last series against the Angels while the Rangers were swept by the Red Sox and are 4-12 vs Astros this season.

 

Texas Rangers

The Rangers get here with a 58-75 record and have lost their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game and they're batting for .244 AVG, have 598 runs scored in 1102 hits and 162 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league behind the Milwaukee Brewers. Adolis Garcia leads with 84 RBI and 21 home runs while Corey Seager has 29 homers and 72 RBI.

Defensively as they are allowing 4.58 runs per game and rank #22 in the league. Martin Perez leads the pitching staff with a 2.89 ERA, 144 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded for the Rangers.

Probable Pitcher:  Martin Perez (10-5, 2.89 ERA)

Perez will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Rangers. He allowed five earned runs on nine hits and four walks while striking out five across five innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Astros and has a record of 9-7 with an ERA of 3.35 and 76 strikeouts in 18 appearances versus the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 86-48 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. They're averaging 4.50 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 607 runs scored in 1098 hits and 174 home runs, ranking #11 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .303 avg with 31 home runs and 82 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.29 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.84 ERA, 154 strikeouts and 16 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Hunter Brown (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Brown will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Astros. Brown will make his major-league debut as a starter Monday against the Rangers. He worked as both a starter and a reliever for Triple-A Sugar Land this season, posting a 2.55 ERA and 31.5 percent strikeout rate in 106 innings.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Texas are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Houston.

Texas are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Texas are 2-15 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Houston.

Houston are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games against Texas.

Houston are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Rangers are on a bad streak and have now lost 8 games in a row and struggled offensively in their last series vs Red Sox. Martin Perez will take the mound for Texas who was pounded in his last start allowing 5 runs in 5 innings vs Astros. Hunter Brown will make his major league debut on this game for the Astros so this is the best chance the  Rangers will have to win a game on this series as they'll face Framber Valdez and Cristian Javier in the next two. Perez has been pounded in his last 2 starts vs Astros but he also threw a complete scoreless game in May against them so I expect him to be better this time. I'll give it a shot with the Rangers.

PICK: Rangers ML (+139)

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