Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 13 (10/13): MLB

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 13 (10/13): MLB

 

Odds

Time 3:37 p.m. EST
Mariners money line +130
Mariners run line +1.5 (-175)
Astros money line -155
Astros run line -1.5 (+150)
Over / under 6.5

 

Key stats

  Seattle Mariners  Houston Astros
Record 92-73 107-56
Road / home record 46-38 56-26
Last 10 record 7-3 7-3
Streak L1 W3
Over / under record 77-80-8 61-91-11
Runs / game 4.29 4.55
Runs allowed / game 3.85 3.23

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners will play the 2nd game of the American League Divisional Series at the Minute Maid Park on Thursday. The Astros took the win 8-7 in the first game of the season. Alvarez smashed a game-ending, three-run homer with two outs in the ninth inning off Robbie Ray to walk-off the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners get here with a 92-73 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.29 runs per game. They're batting for .230 AVG, 690 runs scored in 1237 hits and 197 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league, behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Eugenio Suarez leads with 87 RBI and 31 home runs and batting for .229 avg. Ty France has the best batting average with .278.

Defensively are allowing 3.85 runs per game, ranking #7 in the league. Logan Gilbert leads the team with 13 wins and pitching for a 3.20 ERA and 174 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Luis Castillo (8-6, 2.99 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mariners in the 2nd game of the series. Castillo had an outstanding perfomance against the Blue Jays pitching 7.1 scoreless innings striking out 5 batters. He has allowed 2 runs in 6 innings pitched vs Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 107-56 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Framber Valdez (17-6, 2.82 ERA)

Valdez will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Astros. Valdez earned the win Wednesday, allowing two hits and one walk over five shutout innings against Philadelphia. He struck out 10. He has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 1.94 and 53 strikeouts in 9 appearances against the Mariners in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Seattle are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

Seattle are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Houston.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road.

Seattle are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games.

Houston are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against Seattle.

Houston are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Mariners gave quite a fight in the first game of the series vs Astros as they almost beat them if it wasn't for Alvarez home run in the 9th inning. Luis Castillo will start for the Mariners who was outstanding in his first postseason start with the Mariners. The Astros will send Framber Valdez to start this game who was solid in his last start vs Phillies but has allowed 3 runs in each if his last 2 starts vs Mariners. With Castillo on the mound I see great value with the Mariners as they were close to win in game 1 so expect another close game and Seattle to tie this series up.

PICK: Mariners ML (+130)

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