Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 31 (7/31): MLB

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 31 (7/31): MLB

Credit: photo by  Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports



Time 2:10 p.m. EST
Mariners money line +117
Mariners run line +1.5 (-170)
Astros money line -140
Astros run line -1.5 (+145)
Over / under 8.5


Key stats

  Seattle Mariners Houston Astros
Record 55-47 66-36
Road / home record 28-24 32-15
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 48-51-2 36-59-2
Runs / game 4.10 4.58
Runs allowed / game 3.78 3.39



The Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners will play the 4th game of the series at the Minute Maid Park on Saturday. The Mariners bounced back and beat the Astros 5-4 in the third game of the series.  Abraham Toro pinch-hit for injured All-Star Julio Rodriguez and delivered a two-run single with two outs in the ninth inning to win the game.

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners get here with a 55-47 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.10 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 393 runs scored in 755 hits and 106 home runs, ranking #23 in offense in the league, behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Eugenio Suarez leads with 51 RBI and 16 home runs and batting for .240 avg. Ty France has the best batting average with .306.

Defensively are allowing 3.78 runs per game, ranking #5 in the league. Logan Gilbert leads the team with 10 wins and pitching for a 2.77 ERA and 112 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

George Kirby (2-3, 3.50 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mariners in the 4th game of the series. Kirby just returned from Triple-A Tacoma on July 26 to serve as the No. 5 starter and turned in five scoreless innings in a no-decision against the Rangers on Tuesday.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 66-36 record and have won 6 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.43 runs and batting for .240 AVG, 421 runs scored in 755 hits and 134 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .307 avg with 28 home runs and 65 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.39 runs per game and ranking #3 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.81 ERA, 122 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:

Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 4.25 ERA) will be on the mound for the Astros in the 4th game of the series. Odorizzi dealt with a blister during his previous start Monday against the A's, but he's apparently been cleared to make his next turn through the rotation. He surrendered six runs during that outing. He has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 3.99 and 73 strikeouts in 15 appearances versus the Mariners in his career.


Seattle Mariners are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games on the road.

Seattle Mariners are 6-15 SU in their last 21 games when playing on the road against Houston.

Houston Astros are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home.

Houston Astros are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games played on a Sunday.


The Mariners gave quite a fight and beat the Astros in the 3rd game of the series and will try to win this one by sending the rookie George Kirby who has been solid in his last 3 starts allowing 3 runs across 16.1 innings. Jake Odorizzi will take the mound for the Astros who has been up and down this season and has a 3.99 ERA vs Seattle in his career. This should be a close game as both pitchers should provide quality starts. Take the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110)

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