Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 30 (7/30): MLB

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 30 (7/30): MLB

Credit: photo by  Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports



Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Mariners money line +156
Mariners run line +1.5 (-125)
Astros money line -190
Astros run line -1.5 (+105)
Over / under 8


Key stats

  Seattle Mariners Houston Astros
Record 54-47 66-35
Road / home record 27-24 32-14
Last 10 record 5-5 7-3
Streak L2 W2
Over / under record 47-51-2 35-59-2
Runs / game 4.10 4.58
Runs allowed / game 3.78 3.39



The Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners will play the 3rd game of the series at the Minute Maid Park on Saturday. The Astros destroyed the Mariners in the second game of the series.  Justin Verlander pitched one-run ball into the eighth inning and won his MLB-leading 14th game, Aledmys Díaz hit two homers and Yordan Alvarez slugged his 30th home run of the season as the Houston Astros beat the Seattle Mariners 11-1 on Friday night. 

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners get here with a 54-47 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.10 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 393 runs scored in 755 hits and 106 home runs, ranking #23 in offense in the league, behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Eugenio Suarez leads with 51 RBI and 16 home runs and batting for .240 avg. Ty France has the best batting average with .306.

Defensively are allowing 3.78 runs per game, ranking #5 in the league. Logan Gilbert leads the team with 10 wins and pitching for a 2.77 ERA and 112 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Chris Flexen (7-8, 3.75 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mariners in the 3rd game of the series. Flexen allowed two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out five over six innings, earning the win Monday over the Rangers. He has a 1-6 record with an ERA of 4.87 and 24 strikeouts in 8 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 66-35 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.43 runs and batting for .240 AVG, 421 runs scored in 755 hits and 134 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .307 avg with 28 home runs and 65 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.39 runs per game and ranking #3 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.81 ERA, 122 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:

Framber Valdez (9-4, 2.74 ERA) will be on the mound for the Astros in the 3rd game of the series. Valdez earned the win Sunday over the Mariners. He allowed three runs on eight hits and a walk with eight strikeouts in 6.2 innings. He has a 5-0 record with an ERA of 1.64 and 46 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Mariners in his career.


Seattle Mariners are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games on the road.

Seattle Mariners are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Houston.

Houston are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games played on a Saturday.


The Astros outscored the Mariners 11-1 with a great performance from Verlander. For thsi game they'll send Framber Valdez who has been solid this season and already beat the Mariners this season. Chris Flexen is starting for the Mariners who has been unstoppable lately. Expect a closer game this time as Flexen has pitched well vs Astros this season. I think the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 8 (-110)

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