Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 19 (10/19): MLB

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 19 (10/19): MLB

Odds

Time 7:37 p.m. EST
Yankees money line +153
Yankees run line +1.5 (-145)
Astros money line -185
Astros run line -1.5 (+125)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Houston Astros
Record 102-65 109-56
Home / road record 43-40 57-26
Last 10 record 5-5 7-3
Streak W2 W5
Over / under record 77-84-6 61-93-11
Runs / game 4.98 4.55
Runs allowed / game 3.50 3.23

 

Preview

The AL Central division champion Houston Astros will now visit the AL East champion New York Yankees to play the 5th game of the AL Divisional Series on Monday. The Yankees bounced back and took the win 4-2 to tie the series 2-2.

 

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 102-65 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.98 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 807 runs scored in 1308 hits and 254 home runs, ranking #2 in offense in the league, behind the LA Dodgers. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .315 with 62 home runs and 131 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.50 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.50 ERA, 257 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Jameson Taillon (14-5, 3.91 ERA)

Taillon will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Yankees. Taillon appeared out of the bullpen in Game 2 against the Guardians on Oct. 14, so he'll be on regular rest despite throwing only 18 pitches in his lone postseason appearance. He has a 0-1 record with an ERA of 4.58 and 15 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 109-56 record and have won 7 of their last 8 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Justin Verlander (18-4, 1.75 ERA)

Verlander will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Astros. Verlander bounced back from Tommy John surgery to have a 1.75 ERA in 28 starts this season, certainly earning him the Cy Young award. His 3.40 overall postseason ERA isn't far behind his career 3.24 regular-season ERA, but he has a dismal 4.27 ERA in his previous nine playoff appearances dating back to 2018. He is 9-7 with an ERA of 3.44 and 138 strikeouts in 23 appearances against the Yankees in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

NY Yankees are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games.

NY Yankees are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Houston.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees' last 9 games on the road.

NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games.

Houston are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against NY Yankees.

Houston are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Astros looked great in the 1st round of the playoffs as they swept the Mariners and they'll now face the Yankees to try to make it to the World Series. Justin Verlander will take the mound for this game who struggled in his first start of the postseason allowing 6 runs in 4 innings vs Mariners but dominated the Yankees earlier this season. Jameson Taillon will start for the Yanks who struggled in his last start and allowed 6 runs on 10 hits in his last start vs Astros. The Yankees are carrying some momemtum as they won their last 2 games but the Astros are well rested and it's hard to believe that Verlander will be bad again I think he will have another solid start vs Yankees. Take the Astros.

PICK: Astros -1.5 (+125)

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