Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 11 (6/11): MLB

Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 11 (6/11): MLB

Credit: photo by Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Marlins money line +210
Marlins run line +1.5 (+105)
Astros money line -260
Astros run line -1.5 (-125)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Miami Marlins Houston Astros
Record 26-30 36-22
Road / home record 11-16 15-9
Last 10 record 7-3 6-4
Streak W4 L2
Over / under record 29-26-1 18-38-2
Runs / game 4.43 4.11
Runs allowed / game 4.09 3.32

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Miami Marlins will play the 2nd game of the series at the Minute Maid Park on Friday. The Marlins took the win 7-4 on Friday to take the lead on the series.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 26-30 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging .247 at bat scoring 4.4 runs per game and allowing 4 runs.  Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 10 home runs, 37 RBI and batting for an average of .255. 

Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.61 ERA, 77 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: 

Braxton Garrett (0-1, 10.80 ERA) will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Marlins. In his season debut he allowed 4 runs on 5 hits in only 3.1 innings against the Giants.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 36-22 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.1 runs per game and are allowing 3.3 runs. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .299 avg with 17 home runs and 38 RBI.

Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 2.13 ERA, 73 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:  Framber Valdez (6-2, 2.61 ERA)

Valdez will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Astros. Valdez earned the win Sunday over the Royals. He allowed two runs on four hits and three walks with five strikeouts in six innings.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road.

Miami are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against Miami.

Houston are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games at home.

Prediction

The Marlins have now won 4 straight games but they'll face Framber Valdez one of the best pitchers for the Astros. Valdez has allowed 3 runs in his last 15 innings pitched. Because of some injuries the Marlins will recall Garret to start this game and he didn't have a good debut where he allowed 4 runs in just 3.1 innings. The Astros should be able to get some runs from the rookie and with Valdez on the mound I think they win and cover.

PICK: Astros -1.5 (-120)

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