Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 11 (9/11): MLB

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 11 (9/11): MLB

 

Odds

Time 2:10 p.m. EST
Angels money line +195
Angels run line +1.5 (-105)
Astros money line -240
Astros run line -1.5 (-115)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Los Angeles Angels  Houston Astros
Record 61-78 89-50
Road / home record 30-38 46-22
Last 10 record 5-5 7-3
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 62-67-10 50-80-9
Runs / game 3.82 4.50
Runs allowed / game 4.17 3.25

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Los Angeles Angels will play the 3rd game of the series at the Minute Maid Park on Sunday. The Angels took the win 6-1 in the second game of the series.  Mike Trout homered in his sixth straight game to set an Angels franchise record and Shohei Ohtani threw five solid innings before exiting because of a blister.

 

Los Angeles Angels

The Angels get here with a 61-78 record and have won 3 their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.82 runs per game. They're batting for .227 AVG, 524 runs scored in 1046 hits and 161 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league tied with the Kansas City Royals. Shohei Ohtani leads the team with a .265 avg, 33 home runs and 86 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.17 runs per game and rank #12 in the league. Shohei Ohtani leads the pitching staff with a 2.58 ERA, 181 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Tucker Davidson (2-5, 6.42 ERA)

Davidson will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Angels. Davidson took the loss during Sunday's 9-1 defeat at the hands of the Astros, allowing seven runs on seven hits and two walks with four strikeouts in 6.1 innings. 

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 89-50 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.50 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 615 runs scored in 1118 hits and 176 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league behind the Boston Red Sox. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .303 avg with 31 home runs and 82 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.25 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.84 ERA, 154 strikeouts and 16 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Luis Garcia (11-8, 3.99 ERA)

Garcia will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Astros. Garcia didn't factor in the decision against the Angels on Saturday, allowing one run on three hits and two walks while striking out seven batters over seven innings. He has allowed 5 runs in 18.2 innings pitched against the Angels this season.

 

BETTING TRENDS

LA Angels are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against Houston.

LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston.

Houston are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against LA Angels.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Astros couldn't do much in the second game of the series against Ohtani but they'll now face Tucker Davidson who has struggled this season and got rocked by the Astros in his last start allowing 7 runs in 6.1 innings. Luis Garcia will start for the Astros who has dominated the Angels this season and held them to only 1 run across 7 innings in his last start. The Astros are the better team here and have the better pitcher on the mound, also add the home field advantage so go with the Astros to take the series.

PICK: Astros -1.5 (-115)

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