Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 17 (5/17): MLB

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 17 (5/17): MLB

Credit: photo by Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Astros money line -107
Astros run line +1.5 (-210)
Red Sox money line -113
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+175)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Houston Astros Boston Red Sox
Record 23-13 14-21
Road / home record 14-9 5-9
Last 10 record 8-2 4-6
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 11-24-1 11-20-4
Runs / game 4.21 3.79
Runs allowed / game 3.26 3.97

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox will play the 2nd game of the series at the Fenway Park on Tuesday night. The Red Sox won the first of the series 6-3.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 23-13 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.21 runs per game and are allowing 3.26 runs. Alex Bregman has 5 home runs and 22 RBI. Michael Brantley is batting for .277 avg and Yordan Alvarez has 11 home runs.

Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.38 ERA, 41 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:  Jose Urquidy (2-1, 4.40 ERA)

Urquidy will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Astros. Urquidy allowed one run on three hits across three innings during the 11-3 win over the Twins. He struck out three and walked zero in a game that was completed Thursday following Wednesday's suspended action.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get to this game with a 14-21 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.79 runs and allowing 3.97 runs per game. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 6 home runs and 19 RBI while Xander Bogaerts is batting for .344 AVG.

Matt Strahm (2-1), the fifth Red Sox pitcher, got five outs, striking out three and allowing one hit for the win.

Probable Pitcher: 

Nathan Eovaldi (1-1, 3.15 ERA) will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Red Sox. Eovaldi gave up three runs on six hits across 6.1 innings during Wednesday's 5-3 loss to Atlanta. He struck out six and walked one.

BETTING TRENDS

Houston are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games.

Houston are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against Boston.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games against Houston.

Boston are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home.

Prediction

The Astros are one of the hottest teams in the league right now but they lost the first of the series against the Red Sox. Uquidy and Eovaldi are both great pitchers but have had up and downs so far this season. The over has cashed in 7 of the last 9 head to head games and the average score is 6.2-5.0 favoring the Astros so I think the best play is the over. 

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)

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