Kingpin analysis
Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 12 (4/12): MLB

Credit: photo by Cheryl Evans/The Republic-USA TODAY Sports
Odds
| Time | 9:40 p.m. EST |
| Astros money line | -158 |
| Astros run line | -1.5 (+100) |
| Dbacks money line | +132 |
| Dbacks run line | +1.5 (-120) |
| Over / under | 9 |
Key stats
| Houston Astros | Arizona Diamondbacks | |
| Record | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Road / home record | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 10 record | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Over / under record | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Runs / game | 5.00 | 2.75 |
| Runs allowed / game | 2.50 | 5.00 |
Preview
The Houston Astros will visit the Arizona Diamondbacks to play a short 2-game series at the Chase Field in Phoenix, Az. These teams met last season in a 3 game series and the Astros won it 2-1 at home.
Houston Astros
The Astros get here after dominating the Angels in the opening series. Houston won 3 games of 4 and averaged 5 runs per game while allowing just 2.5 runs. Alex Bregman led the team with a .429 avg 2 home runs and 6 RBI.
Verlander pitched five innings of one-run ball, giving up three hits and three walks while escaping several spots of trouble. He struck out seven, including AL MVP Shohei Ohtani twice. Framber Valdez recorded a win with a 0.00 ERA striking out 6 in game 1.
Probable Pitcher:
Luis Garcia (0-0, 0.0 ERA) will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Astros. After a promising 12.1-inning sample in the majors in 2020, Garcia placed second in the American League Rookie of the Year balloting in 2021, finishing with a 3.48 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 167:50 K:BB across 155.1 frames.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Dbacks won the first but lost the next 3 games against the Padres in the opening series. They showed poor offense, averaging only .129 batting average and 15 hits, allowing 5 runs per game in the 4 games. David Peralta leads with .214 avg, Seth Beer has 3 RBI and Christian Walker homered once.
Merrill Kelly did a great job in the 2nd game of the series, he allowed 4 hits but no runs striking out 7 in 4 innings pitched but the team didn't help on the offense.
Probable Pitcher:
Madison Bumgarner (0-0, 3.00 ERA) will be on the mound for the Dbacks in the 1st game of the series. Bumgarner was initially listed as the probable starter for Wednesday's matchup, but he'll instead pitch on normal rest Tuesday since Zac Gallen (undisclosed) is no longer scheduled to start that day. Bumgarner tossed three innings Opening Day and allowed a run on a hit and four walks while striking out two against the Padres. In his last 3 appearances against the Astros, he's allowed 9 runs in 16.1 innings pitched striking out 12.
BETTING TRENDS
Houston are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Arizona.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games.
Arizona are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games.
Arizona are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games at home.
Prediction
The season didn't start well for the Dbacks again who had one of the worst records in the MLB last season. The Astros are decided to go to the World series again but they won't have an easy game tonight as they'll be facing Madison Bumgarner who should be able to hold them to a low score. Astros win but the play is the under.
PICK: Under 9 (-110)
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