Kingpin analysis

Harrison Bader Player Props: Mets vs Angels 8/4

Harrison Bader Player Props: Mets vs Angels 8/4
Harrison Bader Player Props: Mets vs Angels 8/4

Harrison Bader Player Props: Mets vs Angels 8/4

Photo Credit: © Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports


Game Summary

The New York Mets (58-52, 3rd in NL East) face off against the Los Angeles Angels (48-63, 4th in AL West) today, August 4, 2024, at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California. This matchup marks the third encounter of the season between these two teams, with the series currently tied at 1-1. The Mets enter this game having gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, showcasing a solid performance with a .249 batting average and a 3.80 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 16 runs. In contrast, the Angels are 4-6 over the same period, hitting .247 with a 3.86 ERA, being outscored by three runs.

Historical matchups suggest a competitive game, particularly with the Mets boasting the third-ranked team slugging percentage in the National League at .420. The Angels, however, have struggled at home this season, holding a 25-35 record. Taylor Ward leads the Angels offensively with 19 doubles and 16 home runs, while Francisco Lindor heads the Mets with a .255 batting average and 22 home runs. Both teams will look to secure a decisive victory to claim the series.


Player Prop Odds

For Harrison Bader, the player prop odds are as follows:
- Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
- RBIs: Over 0.5 (+165)
- Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+255)
- Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+130)


Player Analysis

Harrison Bader has been making a significant impact for the Mets this season. He has demonstrated his ability to contribute offensively, particularly in crucial moments. Bader is currently hitting .268 with 8 home runs and 37 RBIs this season. His speed on the bases allows him to be a constant threat, as evidenced by his 15 stolen bases.

In the past 10 games, Bader has been particularly impressive, hitting .268 with multiple multi-hit games, showcasing his ability to find gaps and get on base. His ability to put the ball in play makes him a strong candidate for props related to hits, runs scored, and total bases.


Opposing Analysis

The Angels' pitching staff, led by Griffin Canning, has shown vulnerability, particularly against left-handed hitters. Canning has a 5.32 ERA this season and tends to allow solid contact. The Mets’ lineup features several left-handed hitters who can capitalize on Canning’s struggles. This dynamic could benefit Bader, especially in terms of getting on base and potentially scoring runs. Given Canning's tendency to give up hits, Bader's prop bets for over 1.5 hits and total bases look appealing.


Pitching Probables

Pitcher Team W-L ERA Strikeouts
Jose Quintana Mets 6-6 3.89 90
Griffin Canning Angels 3-10 5.32 85

Team Previews

New York Mets: The Mets have struggled offensively this season, ranking 26th in runs scored with 447. However, they feature a solid lineup with players like Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso providing power. The Mets also possess a competent pitching staff, with an overall ERA of 4.58. Their bullpen has performed relatively well, holding a 29-save record this season.

Los Angeles Angels: The Angels have seen a decline in their performance, currently sitting 4th in the AL West. They rank 6th in runs scored, with 535, but their pitching staff has been inconsistent. The team has a 4.15 ERA, which is better than the Mets but still susceptible to high-scoring games. Their ability to give up home runs could play a crucial role in today’s matchup.


Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Mike Trout OF Meniscus 10-Day IL
Luis Rengifo 3B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
Starling Marte OF Knee 10-Day IL

Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
Minnesota W15-2 W
Minnesota W2-0 W
Minnesota L8-3 L
Los Angeles W5-1 W
Los Angeles L5-4 L

Prediction

Pick: Over 1.5 hits for Harrison Bader. Given Canning's struggles against left-handed batters and Bader’s recent form, he is likely to have multiple opportunities to get on base. His speed and contact ability make him a strong candidate to exceed this prop.

Kingpin app

Get ranked cards for this game in the app

Tracked experts, Edge scores, and alerts on iPhone and Android.

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.

Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

Kingpin app

Continue in the Kingpin app

Transparent simulated records. Entertainment only.

Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.

Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.

Kingpin appGet ranked bettor cards in the app
Get the App