Guardians vs Mets Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/21

Guardians vs Mets Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/21

© David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians

The New York Mets face off against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. Both teams are looking to secure a win in this intriguing matchup.

Game Overview:

  • Date: May 21, 2024
  • Time: 3:10 PM
  • Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
  • Line: CLE -120
  • Over/Under: 9.5

 

Team Breakdown:

New York Mets:

The Mets come into this game with a 21-26 record, including 11-12 on the road. Adrian Houser will be on the mound, looking to improve on his challenging season so far.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Pete Alonso (10 HR)
  • Batting Average: Starling Marte (.262 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Brandon Nimmo (29 RBI)

Adrian Houser, the Mets' starting pitcher, has struggled this season with an 0-3 record, a 7.44 ERA, and a 1.84 WHIP over 32.2 innings. His high ERA and WHIP suggest that he may have a hard time containing the Guardians' lineup.

Cleveland Guardians:

The Guardians hold a strong 31-17 record, including an impressive 16-6 at home. Carlos Carrasco will take the mound for Cleveland, aiming to build on his mixed performance this season.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Josh Naylor (12 HR)
  • Batting Average: Andres Gimenez (.271 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Jose Ramirez (41 RBI)

Carlos Carrasco, the Guardians' starting pitcher, has a 2-4 record with a 5.16 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 45.1 innings. His performance has been inconsistent, allowing 8 home runs and struggling with control at times.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
NYM (21-26) EVEN o9.5 (EVEN) -1.5 (+165)
CLE (31-17) -120 u9.5 (-125) +1.5 (-200)

 

Prediction:

In this matchup, we predict that the game will go over 9.5 runs. Here's why:

Both starting pitchers, Adrian Houser and Carlos Carrasco, have struggled this season with high ERAs and WHIPs. Houser's 7.44 ERA and Carrasco's 5.16 ERA indicate potential for a high-scoring game.

The Mets and Guardians both have powerful lineups capable of taking advantage of the pitchers' weaknesses. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo lead the Mets' offense, while Josh Naylor and Jose Ramirez provide significant firepower for the Guardians.

Given the pitchers' struggles and the offensive capabilities of both teams, a high-scoring game is likely.

Pick: Over 9.5 runs (EVEN)

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