Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds (62-67) face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (61-67) in the third game of their series at PNC Park on August 24, 2024. The Pirates have taken a commanding 2-0 lead in the series. Both teams are vying for better positions in the NL Central, with the Reds sitting fourth and the Pirates in fifth. The game is set to begin at 6:40 PM EDT.

Recent performances show the Pirates holding a slight edge, with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, while the Reds are 4-6. The Reds have struggled, particularly in one-run games, holding a 10-22 record in such matchups. Historically, the Pirates have had the upper hand in this season's series, winning 6 of the 8 encounters prior to this game.

Notable players to watch include Oneil Cruz for the Pirates, who has been a consistent performer with 18 home runs and a .263 batting average. On the Reds' side, Elly De La Cruz leads the team with a .260 average and 22 home runs. With both teams battling injuries, the game promises to be a competitive matchup.

Player Prop Odds

• Oneil Cruz - Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+360)

Player Analysis

Oneil Cruz has been a standout player for the Pirates this season. His offensive stats are impressive, boasting a .263 batting average, 18 home runs, and 63 RBIs. Cruz's ability to steal bases is notable; he has shown speed on the bases, making him a threat whenever he gets on. His current prop for stolen bases is set at 0.5, indicating the potential for him to swipe a bag in this game.

Cruz's speed and aggressive base running have been crucial for the Pirates, particularly in close games. His stats show that he has been successful in stealing bases when he gets the opportunity, and with the Reds' pitchers allowing a reasonable number of stolen bases this season, Cruz could capitalize on this.

Opposing Analysis

The Reds' pitching staff has been average this season, with a team ERA of 3.90. However, they have allowed 67 stolen bases, ranking them middle of the pack in the league. This suggests that Cruz may find opportunities to run if he gets on base, especially against a pitcher like Jake Woodford, who has struggled with controlling the running game.

The Pirates' lineup, featuring Cruz, has been fairly aggressive on the basepaths, making them a team that can put pressure on opposing pitchers. As they face Woodford, who has shown vulnerability, Cruz's speed could be a key factor in the game.

Prop Analysis

Evaluating the prop for Oneil Cruz to steal over 0.5 bases at +360 presents a substantial value bet. Given his speed and the Reds' tendency to allow stolen bases, this prop could be very promising. The odds reflect the risk involved but also the potential upside if Cruz gets on base early and takes advantage of the situation.

Additionally, Cruz's recent performances have shown a consistent ability to reach base, which increases the likelihood of him attempting a steal. Given the current form of both teams, this could be an exciting matchup to watch for base stealing opportunities.

Starting Pitching Summary - Reds

Julian Aguiar will take the mound for the Reds with a 4.50 ERA and a WHIP of 1.25. Although he is unproven with a record of 0-0 this season, Aguiar has shown flashes of potential in his limited innings. The Reds will need him to have a strong outing to keep the game close, limiting the Pirates' scoring opportunities.

Starting Pitching Summary - Pirates

Jake Woodford, on the other hand, has struggled significantly this season with a 6.67 ERA and a record of 0-5. His WHIP of 1.44 suggests he has been allowing too many runners on base, which could prove beneficial for Cruz if he can get on early in the game. Woodford's inconsistency could lead to opportunities for the Pirates' offense to capitalize.

Bullpen Summary - Reds

The Reds' bullpen has been fairly reliable, with a combined ERA of 3.90. However, they have faced challenges in high-pressure situations, particularly in close games. If Woodford struggles, the Reds may need to rely heavily on their bullpen, which could give Cruz more opportunities to run if he reaches base.

Bullpen Summary - Pirates

The Pirates' bullpen has also shown signs of vulnerability, especially in the late innings. With a 4.07 ERA for the season, they have allowed opponents to capitalize on scoring chances. If the game remains close, Cruz's speed could become a factor as he looks to take advantage of any lapses in the Pirates' relief efforts.

Team Previews

The Cincinnati Reds have struggled offensively this season, ranking 23rd in runs scored with 531. Their batting average of .234 is also below league average. The team has shown moments of brilliance, but consistency has eluded them, especially in close games.

The Pittsburgh Pirates, meanwhile, have a slightly better offensive output, ranking 14th with 571 runs scored. Their batting average sits at .231, but players like Oneil Cruz have shown the ability to change the game with their speed and power. The Pirates have been more successful at home, and they will look to continue that trend in this matchup.

Team Injuries

Recent Games