Free MLB Total Picks: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/27
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:27:27 PM
Free MLB Total Picks: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/27
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Game Summary
The Cleveland Guardians will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. This matchup is set to commence on July 27. Both teams are coming off varied performances and this game could play a pivotal role in their respective standings.
Currently, the Guardians boast a strong overall record of 64-39, with an impressive home performance of 37-17 and a solid road record of 27-22. Their offense has been potent, ranking 5th in hits and runs, and 3rd in batting average (.257). Their pitching staff has also been stellar, with a team ERA of 3.46, which is the 2nd best in the league.
On the other hand, the Phillies hold an overall record of 62-41. They have showcased a strong home record of 33-15 and a decent road performance of 29-26. The Phillies rank 21st in hits and 13th in runs, with a batting average of .241. Their pitching staff has maintained a respectable ERA of 3.65, ranked 5th in the league.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 9.5 | 100 |
| Under 9.5 | -122 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (PHI) | 3-8 | 5.32 | 1.38 | 91.1 | 100 | 74 | 26 | 15 |
| Tyler Phillips (CLE) | 2-0 | 2.81 | 0.88 | 16.0 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 3 |
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Team Previews
Cleveland Guardians
Hitting: The Guardians have been exceptional at the plate, ranking 5th in hits (893) and runs (500), and 3rd in batting average (.257). Key players include Alec Bohm, who leads the team with a .296 batting average, and Bryce Harper, who has hit 23 home runs this season.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been solid with 27 saves, ranking them tied for 10th in the league. Their relief pitchers have contributed significantly to maintaining their 2nd best team ERA of 3.46.
Fielding: Defensively, the Guardians have committed 57 errors, ranking them tied for 11th. Their fielding has been crucial in supporting their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: The Guardians' starting pitchers have been exceptional, with Tyler Phillips standing out with a 2.81 ERA and a 2-0 record.
Philadelphia Phillies
Hitting: The Phillies' offense ranks 21st in hits (810) and 13th in runs (471), with a batting average of .241. Steven Kwan leads the team with a .340 batting average, while Jose Ramirez has hit 24 home runs and driven in 82 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been strong with 36 saves, ranking them 2nd in the league. Their relief pitchers have been pivotal in maintaining a team ERA of 3.65.
Fielding: Defensively, the Phillies have committed 54 errors, ranking them tied for 14th in the league. Their solid fielding has supported their pitching efforts.
Starting Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco has struggled with a 5.32 ERA and a 3-8 record. Improving his performance will be crucial for the Phillies' success.
Team Injuries
Cleveland Guardians
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| James Karinchak | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 10 |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | SP | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Dylan Covey | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Luis Ortiz | RP | Elbow | Out for the season |
Betting Trends
- Guardians are 10-5 in their last 15 games as a favorite.
- Phillies are 8-7 in their last 15 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-2 in Guardians' last 10 road games.
- Under is 6-4 in Phillies' last 10 home games.
- Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the NL East.
Recent Games
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | W 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 7-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 2-1 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 8-2 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | L |
| @ Minnesota | W 3-0 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Guardians | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5th | 21st |
| Starting Pitching | 2nd | 5th |
| Relief Pitching | 10th | 2nd |
| Fielding | 11th | 14th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 games against NL East teams.
- Phillies are 11-9 in their last 20 games at home.
- Over is 10-5 in the Guardians' last 15 games.
- Under is 8-7 in the Phillies' last 15 games.
- Guardians' bullpen has a save percentage of 75% in their last 20 opportunities.
- Phillies' bullpen has a save percentage of 72% in their last 20 opportunities.
- Guardians are 12-8 in games decided by 2 or fewer runs.
- Phillies are 14-6 in games decided by 2 or fewer runs.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians' last 5 road games.
- Under is 3-2 in Phillies' last 5 home games.
Weather
Weather: Intermittent clouds, Temperature: 84°F.
Prediction
Considering the recent performances of both teams and the pitching probables, the total runs for this game are likely to be influenced heavily by the starting pitchers' effectiveness. Tyler Phillips has been solid for the Guardians with a 2.81 ERA, while Carlos Carrasco has struggled with a 5.32 ERA. However, both teams have strong bullpens that could limit scoring in the later innings. Given these factors, the under 9.5 runs seems to be a viable pick.
Pick: Under 9.5 runs
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