Free MLB Total Picks: Astros vs Rangers (7/13)

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:50:58 PM
Free MLB Total Picks: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers (7/13)
Photo Credit: © Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Houston Astros are set to face off against the Texas Rangers at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas on the evening of July 13. This matchup features two teams from the AL West, each looking to gain ground in the standings. The Astros, with a record of 49-44, have been playing strong baseball at home with a 27-19 record. Their opponents, the Texas Rangers, have struggled on the road with a 20-28 record and an overall record of 44-49.
Houston’s offense has been one of the best in the league, ranking 2nd in hits and 1st in batting average. They’ve scored 448 runs, placing them 9th in the league, and have shown solid pitching with a team ERA of 4.08. On the other hand, the Rangers have been middle-of-the-road offensively, ranking 15th in hits and 16th in runs. Their pitching has been slightly better with a team ERA of 4.02.
Starting for the Astros will be Spencer Arrighetti, who has had a challenging season with a 4-7 record and a 5.96 ERA. The Rangers will counter with Nathan Eovaldi, who has been more consistent with a 6-3 record and a 3.10 ERA. This pitching matchup will be crucial in determining the outcome of this game.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | -110 |
| Under 8.5 | -110 |
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 4-7 | 5.96 | 86 | 41 | 10 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 6-3 | 3.10 | 85 | 26 | 10 |
Team Previews
Houston Astros
Hitting: The Astros have been a powerhouse offensively, leading the league with a .263 batting average and ranking 2nd in hits with 842. Jose Altuve leads the team with a .306 average, while Yordan Alvarez has been a force with 19 home runs and 51 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Astros' bullpen has shown resilience, accumulating 22 saves, ranking them tied-18th in the league. Despite some inconsistencies, they have managed to keep the team in contention in most games.
Fielding: Houston’s defense has been solid, with only 40 errors on the season, placing them tied-27th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Spencer Arrighetti has had a tough season with a 5.96 ERA. His high walk rate (41 BB) has been a significant concern.
Texas Rangers
Hitting: The Rangers have been average offensively, with a .243 batting average and 765 hits, placing them 15th in the league. Josh Smith leads the team with a .295 average, and Corey Seager has been the power hitter with 17 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Rangers' bullpen has struggled, recording only 17 saves, ranking them tied-28th in the league. This has been a weak spot for the team.
Fielding: Similar to the Astros, the Rangers have committed 40 errors, placing them tied-27th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi has been a bright spot for the Rangers with a 3.10 ERA and a solid strikeout-to-walk ratio.
Team Injuries
Houston Astros
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
Texas Rangers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Bradford | SP | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against Texas.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games against an opponent in the American League West Division.
Recent Games
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Miami | 6-3 | W |
| vs Miami | 9-1 | W |
| vs Miami | 4-3 | W |
| @ Minnesota | 3-2 | L |
| @ Minnesota | 9-3 | L |
Texas Rangers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | 2-7 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | 4-5 | W |
| @ Los Angeles | 9-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 13-2 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 4-3 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Houston Astros | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2nd | 15th |
| Starting Pitching | 17th | 16th |
| Relief Pitching | Tied-18th | Tied-28th |
| Fielding | Tied-27th | Tied-27th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Houston is 49-44 overall this season.
- Houston is 27-19 at home this season.
- Texas is 44-49 overall this season.
- Texas is 20-28 on the road this season.
- Houston ranks 2nd in hits with 842.
- Texas ranks 15th in hits with 765.
- Houston has a team batting average of .263, ranking 1st in the league.
- Texas has a team ERA of 4.02, ranking 16th in the league.
- Houston's bullpen has recorded 22 saves, ranking tied-18th.
- Texas's bullpen has recorded 17 saves, ranking tied-28th.
Weather
The weather for this game in Houston is expected to be intermittent clouds with a temperature of around 84°F. Since the game is being played at Minute Maid Park, which is an indoor venue, weather conditions should not affect the game.
Prediction
Pick: Under 8.5 runs
Given the recent trends and the pitching matchup, the under seems to be the best play for this game. Both teams have shown tendencies to play lower-scoring games, especially in their recent matchups. Nathan Eovaldi has been strong on the mound for the Rangers, and despite Spencer Arrighetti's struggles, the Astros' bullpen has been solid enough to keep the game under control. Additionally, both teams rank low in terms of errors, suggesting a clean defensive game. The total has gone under in 5 of Houston's last 7 games and in 8 of Texas' last 11 games, supporting this prediction.


