```html Free MLB Player Props Picks: Twins vs Tigers 7/28

Free MLB Player Props Picks: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers 7/28

Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Minnesota Twins (57-46, second in the AL Central) face off against the Detroit Tigers (52-54, fourth in the AL Central) at Comerica Park in Detroit on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 1:40 p.m. EDT. The series is currently tied 1-1, making this game crucial for both teams as they aim to clinch the series.

Detroit, who holds a 25-25 record at home, has shown impressive power, boasting a 24-4 record in games where they hit at least two home runs. On the other hand, Minnesota has a 28-25 record on the road and excels in games where they do not give up a home run, with a 22-8 record in such situations.

This matchup marks the 13th time these teams have met this season, with the season series currently tied at 6-6. Key performers for the Tigers include Matt Vierling, who is hitting .255 with 18 doubles, five triples, and 13 home runs, and Javier Baez, who has hit three home runs over the past 10 games. For the Twins, Carlos Santana has contributed with 20 doubles and 14 home runs, while Byron Buxton is coming off a hot streak, going 13-for-43 with five doubles and three home runs in the last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

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Wenceel Perez Player Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +376, Under -654
• Batter Hits (0.5): Over -179, Under +129
• Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +208, Under -304
• Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +146, Under -204
• Batter Singles (0.5): Over +104, Under -142
• Batter Total Bases (0.5): Over -179, Under +129

Player Analysis

Wenceel Perez has been a consistent contributor for the Detroit Tigers this season. With a batting average of .258, Perez has shown the ability to get on base and make things happen. He has 13 home runs and 42 RBIs, demonstrating his power and run-producing capabilities. Additionally, Perez has been effective in clutch situations, which will be crucial against a tough Minnesota Twins pitching staff.

Opposing Analysis

The Minnesota Twins pitching staff, led by probable starter Bailey Ober, has been solid this season. Ober, who has a 9-5 record with a 4.04 ERA and 110 strikeouts, will be a challenging opponent for Perez. The Twins' bullpen has also been reliable, ranking 14th in ERA (3.92). However, they have shown vulnerabilities on the road, which Perez and the Tigers will look to exploit.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Bailey Ober (MIN)	9-5	4.04	1.06	107.0	88	110	25	17
Alex Faedo (DET)	5-1	3.47	1.24	49.1	42	45	19	8

Team Previews

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have had a solid season so far, with a 57-46 record. Their hitting ranks 19th in hits (821) and 17th in runs (448). The team batting average stands at .233, ranking 24th. The pitching staff has been effective, with a team ERA of 3.92 (14th) and 23 saves (T-22nd). Defensively, the Twins have committed 60 errors, ranking 8th in the league.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers have a 52-54 record and are currently 25-25 at home. They rank 10th in hits (879) and 7th in runs (498), with a team batting average of .253 (7th). The pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.10 (19th) and 30 saves (7th). Defensively, the Tigers have committed 49 errors, ranking 23rd in the league.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Riley Greene	LF	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Kerry Carpenter	RF	60-Day IL (spine)
Reese Olson	SP	15-Day IL (shoulder)
Parker Meadows	CF	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Casey Mize	SP	15-Day IL (hamstring)
Sawyer Gipson-Long	SP	60-Day IL (groin)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Kody Funderburk	RP	15-Day IL (oblique)
Carlos Correa	SS	10-Day IL (foot)
Chris Paddack	SP	15-Day IL (forearm)
Kyle Farmer	2B	10-Day IL (shoulder)
Alex Kirilloff	1B	10-Day IL (back)
Justin Topa	RP	60-Day IL (knee)
Daniel Duarte	RP	60-Day IL (tricep)
Anthony DeSclafani	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

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Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Milwaukee	L8-4 F/12	L
vs Milwaukee	L8-7	L
vs Philadelphia	W7-2	W
vs Philadelphia	L3-0	L
vs Philadelphia	W5-4	W
@ Detroit	W9-3	W
@ Detroit	L7-2	L

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Toronto	W5-4	W
@ Toronto	W7-3	W
@ Toronto	L5-4	L
@ Cleveland	W8-2	W
@ Cleveland	L5-4	L
@ Cleveland	L2-1	L
@ Cleveland	W3-0	W
vs Minnesota	L9-3	L
vs Minnesota	W7-2	W

Prediction

Considering Wenceel Perez's current form and the prop odds available, our pick for tonight is the Over on Perez's Total Bases at 0.5 (-179). Perez has been consistent in getting on base and against Bailey Ober, who has had some struggles on the road, Perez has a favorable matchup to exceed this mark.

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