Free MLB Player Props Picks: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:28:59 PM
Free MLB Player Props Picks: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/29
Photo Credit: © John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
Tonight's matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles promises to be an exciting game as both teams continue their push towards the playoffs. The game will be held at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland, a venue known for its hitter-friendly dimensions. The game is scheduled for 6:35 PM on July 29th.
The Toronto Blue Jays, with a solid record of 62-43, are currently fighting for a top spot in the AL East. They have shown strong performances both at home and on the road, boasting a 31-24 home record and a 31-19 road record. The Blue Jays are ranked 6th in hits and 4th in runs, with a batting average of .252. Their pitching staff has also been commendable, holding an ERA of 3.79, which is 8th in the league.
On the other hand, the Baltimore Orioles have a record of 49-56 and are struggling to keep pace in the competitive AL East. The Orioles have had a tough time both at home (26-28) and on the road (23-28). Offensively, they are ranked 24th in hits and 25th in runs, with a team batting average of .238. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.51, which ranks 27th in the league.
In their recent matchups, the Blue Jays have been more consistent, winning five of their last ten games. The Orioles have been inconsistent, also winning five of their last ten games but facing tougher competition. Historically, the Blue Jays have had the upper hand in this matchup, and they will be looking to continue their dominance tonight.
Both teams have key players to watch. For the Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with a .301 batting average, 19 home runs, and 64 RBIs. The Orioles will rely on Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson, who have been their most consistent hitters.
This game also features an intriguing pitching matchup. The Blue Jays will start Bowden Francis, who has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 5.82. The Orioles will counter with Cade Povich, who has struggled this season with a 1-4 record and an ERA of 6.27.
Given the current form and statistics of both teams, this game is expected to be competitive, with the Blue Jays having a slight edge. Let's dive into our player prop pick for Ernie Clement in this exciting matchup.
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Player Prop Odds
Ernie Clement:
- Batter Doubles - 0.5 Over +370
- Batter Hits - 1.5 Over +190
- Batter RBIs - 0.5 Over +125
- Batter Runs Scored - 0.5 Over +110
- Batter Singles - 0.5 Over -180
- Batter Total Bases - 1.5 Over +105
Player Analysis
Ernie Clement has been a versatile player for the Blue Jays, providing solid contributions both at the plate and in the field. Clement has a batting average of .283, and he has shown the ability to get on base consistently. He has recorded 29 hits in 102 at-bats this season, including 8 doubles, 1 home run, and 11 RBIs. Clement's on-base percentage of .352 and slugging percentage of .373 indicate that he is a reliable hitter who can contribute in various ways.
In recent games, Clement has been in good form, recording hits in five of his last seven games. His versatility and ability to hit for contact make him a valuable asset for the Blue Jays, especially in a game against a struggling Orioles pitching staff.
Opposing Analysis
The Baltimore Orioles will start Cade Povich, who has had a challenging season with a 1-4 record and an ERA of 6.27. Povich has struggled with command, walking 18 batters in 33 innings, and he has also been prone to giving up the long ball, allowing 7 home runs. The Orioles' bullpen has also been inconsistent, with an overall ERA of 4.51.
Given the Orioles' struggles on the mound, Clement has a favorable matchup. Povich's tendency to give up hits and walks could provide Clement with opportunities to get on base and drive in runs. The Orioles' bullpen's inconsistency further enhances Clement's chances of having a productive game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Francis (TOR) | 3-2 | 5.82 | 1.47 | 38.2 | 43 | 34 | 14 | 8 |
| C. Povich (BAL) | 1-4 | 6.27 | 1.55 | 33.0 | 33 | 24 | 18 | 7 |
Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have been one of the most balanced teams in the league this season. Offensively, they rank 6th in hits (915) and 4th in runs (522) with a team batting average of .252. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with a .301 average, 19 home runs, and 64 RBIs. The Blue Jays' pitching staff has also been impressive, with an ERA of 3.79, ranking 8th in the league. Their bullpen has been solid, with 33 saves, ranking 5th in the league.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have struggled offensively and on the mound this season. They rank 24th in hits (824) and 25th in runs (430) with a team batting average of .238. Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the bright spots for the Orioles, providing consistent offensive production. The Orioles' pitching staff has an ERA of 4.51, ranking 27th in the league. Their bullpen has been inconsistent, with 25 saves, ranking 17th in the league.
Team Injuries
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kiermaier | CF | Sun, Jul 28 | Hip | Probable for Jul 29 |
Baltimore Orioles
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Means | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Elbow | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | 5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | 7-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | 5-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | 4-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 6-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | 6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | 6-3 | L |
Prediction
Based on the current form and statistics, Ernie Clement's player prop odds look favorable. Given his recent hitting form and the favorable matchup against Cade Povich, our recommended pick is:
Pick: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Total Bases +105
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