Free MLB Player Props Picks: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 10/10
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:23:02 AM
Free MLB Player Props Picks: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros 10/10
Photo Credit: © Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to face off against the Houston Astros on Sunday, October 10th, at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. The game is scheduled to begin at 2:10 PM EDT. The Dodgers, currently holding a record of 62-44 and leading the NL West, are looking to snap their four-game road losing streak. On the other hand, the Astros, with a 55-49 record and leading the AL West, are aiming to continue their strong performance at home where they hold a 30-21 record.
The Dodgers boast the 10th-best team ERA in the majors at 3.81, while the Astros have a collective .321 on-base percentage, ranking ninth in MLB. This matchup marks the third meeting between these two teams this season, with both teams having shown competitive play so far.
Key players to watch include Yordan Alvarez of the Astros, who has hit 20 home runs and holds a .300 batting average, and Shohei Ohtani of the Dodgers, who leads his team with 32 home runs and a .318 batting average. Both teams have shown mixed results in their last 10 games, with the Astros going 5-5 and the Dodgers 6-4.
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Player Prop Odds
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Nick Ahmed Props:
- Batter Hits: 0.5 (-135)
- Batter RBIs: 0.5 (+240)
- Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 (+150)
- Batter Singles: 0.5 (+120)
- Batter Total Bases: 1.5 (+230)
Player Analysis
Nick Ahmed, a defensive stalwart for the Arizona Diamondbacks, is known for his remarkable fielding skills. However, his offensive contributions have been sporadic this season. Ahmed is batting .218 with 4 home runs and 25 RBIs. Although his batting average is not impressive, he has shown the capability to come through in clutch situations.
In his last ten games, Ahmed has 7 hits, including a home run and 4 RBIs. His recent form suggests he might be finding some rhythm at the plate, making him a candidate to exceed his prop odds in various categories.
Opposing Analysis
The Astros will be starting Spencer Arrighetti, who has had a challenging season with a 4-8 record and a 5.65 ERA. Arrighetti has struggled with his control, issuing 45 walks in 86 innings pitched. This could play into Ahmed's favor, as Arrighetti has been prone to allowing base runners.
Houston's bullpen, however, has been relatively solid, with a team ERA of 3.77, ranking 10th in the majors. Despite this, the inconsistency of the starting pitching provides an opportunity for opposing hitters like Ahmed to capitalize, especially in the early innings.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ryan (LAD) | 0-0 | 0.00 | 1.31 | 5.1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| S. Arrighetti (HOU) | 4-8 | 5.65 | 1.58 | 86.0 | 91 | 96 | 45 | 11 |
Team Previews
Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been a formidable team this season, boasting a .262 team batting average, the second highest in MLB. Their lineup features heavy hitters like Shohei Ohtani and Gavin Lux, who have been consistent performers. The Dodgers' pitching staff, led by their bullpen with a 3.81 ERA, has been reliable, though recent injuries have put a strain on their depth.
Astros
The Houston Astros, with a team batting average of .254, rank fifth in the majors. Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena have been key contributors to their offensive success. The Astros' pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.77, ranking 10th in the league. Their bullpen has been particularly effective, which could be crucial in close games.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | OF | 10-Day IL (groin) |
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 10-Day IL (forearm) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dustin May | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow/esophagus) |
| Max Muncy | 3B | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Walker Buehler | SP | 15-Day IL (hip) |
| Michael Grove | RP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Mookie Betts | OF | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Ryan Brasier | RP | 60-Day IL (calf) |
| Connor Brogdon | RP | 60-Day IL (foot) |
| Brusdar Graterol | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Emmet Sheehan | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tony Gonsolin | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Result | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Boston | W4-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Boston | W7-6 F/11 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Boston | W9-6 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs San Francisco | W3-2 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Francisco | W5-2 | W |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs San Francisco | L8-3 | L |
| Thu, Jul 25 | vs San Francisco | W6-4 | W |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Houston | L5-0 | L |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Houston | L7-6 | L |
Prediction
Pick: Nick Ahmed Over 0.5 Hits (-135)
Nick Ahmed has shown recent improvement in his hitting performance, and with Spencer Arrighetti's struggles on the mound, Ahmed has a favorable matchup. The odds of -135 for Ahmed to get over 0.5 hits provide good value, making this a solid pick for today's game.
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