Free MLB Player Props Picks: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/28

Lm Tipster
Jul 28, 2024, 4:53:48 AM

Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cleveland Guardians and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. This game serves as the rubber match in their three-game series, with both teams having secured one win each. The Phillies, who have a strong home record of 38-17, sit at the top of the NL East with an overall record of 65-39. They boast the fourth-best team on-base percentage in the majors at .328.

The Guardians, leaders of the AL Central with a 62-42 record, have been performing well on the road with a 29-27 record. They are known for their solid batting, holding the eighth-ranked team slugging percentage in the AL at .395. This game marks the third meeting between these two teams this season, setting the stage for a crucial contest.

Both teams have experienced mixed results in their last ten games, with the Phillies going 4-6 and batting .232 while their pitching staff posted a 5.22 ERA. The Guardians also have a 4-6 record in their last ten games but have faced struggles at the plate with a .201 batting average. Their pitching staff, however, has been impressive, maintaining a 3.17 ERA.

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Player Prop Odds

Steven Kwan Player Prop Odds:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+330), Under 0.5 (-525)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+175), Under 1.5 (-245)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+235), Under 0.5 (-340)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115), Under 0.5 (-155)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-190), Under 0.5 (+140)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110), Under 1.5 (-150)

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Player Analysis

Steven Kwan has been a standout performer for the Cleveland Guardians this season. He currently leads the team with an impressive .340 batting average, which ranks among the highest in the league. Kwan's ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities has been crucial for the Guardians' offense. He has also contributed with 24 home runs and 82 RBIs, showcasing his power-hitting abilities.

In his last ten games, Kwan has been consistent, maintaining his high batting average and continuing to be a key player in the lineup. His versatility and ability to hit for both power and average make him a valuable asset for the Guardians.

Opposing Analysis

For this game, the Philadelphia Phillies will be relying on their pitching staff to contain Steven Kwan and the rest of the Guardians' lineup. The Phillies' pitching has been solid this season, with a team ERA of 3.63, which ranks fourth in the league. They have been particularly effective at home, where they have a 38-17 record.

Kolby Allard is expected to start for the Phillies. While his season statistics are not available, it's crucial for Allard to bring his best against a potent Guardians lineup. The Phillies' bullpen has also been reliable, with 37 saves, tied for first in the league. They will need to maintain their form to keep the Guardians' hitters in check.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Joey Cantillo (CLE)	--	--	--
Kolby Allard (PHI)	--	--	--

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Team Previews

Cleveland Guardians

Hitting: The Guardians have a .256 team batting average, ranking fourth in the league. They are tied for fifth in hits with 899 and sixth in runs with 501. Their slugging percentage of .395 ranks eighth in the AL.
Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has recorded 27 saves, tied for tenth in the league. They have a team ERA of 3.46, which is the second-best in the league.
Fielding: The Guardians have committed 59 errors, tied for ninth in the league.
Starting Pitchers: The Guardians' starting pitchers have been effective, contributing to the team's overall success this season.

Philadelphia Phillies

Hitting: The Phillies have a team batting average of .241, ranking sixteenth in the league. They have scored 474 runs, which ranks thirteenth. Their on-base percentage of .328 is the fourth-best in the league.
Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been stellar, recording 37 saves, tied for first in the league. They have a team ERA of 3.63, which ranks fourth.
Fielding: The Phillies have committed 55 errors, tied for fourteenth in the league.
Starting Pitchers: The Phillies' starting pitchers have played a significant role in their strong home record.

Team Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Player	Position	Injury Status
Sam Hentges	RP	15-Day IL (undisclosed)
Matthew Boyd	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Shane Bieber	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Trevor Stephan	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
James Karinchak	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Philadelphia Phillies

Player	Position	Injury Status
Alec Bohm	3B	day-to-day (ankle)
Ranger Suarez	SP	15-Day IL (back)
Luis Ortiz	RP	60-Day IL (ankle)
Spencer Turnbull	SP	15-Day IL (back)
Taijuan Walker	SP	15-Day IL (index finger)
Dylan Covey	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs San Diego	W 7-0	W
vs San Diego	L 7-0	L
vs San Diego	L 2-1	L
vs Detroit	L 8-2	L
vs Detroit	W 5-4	W

Philadelphia Phillies

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Pittsburgh	L 8-7	L
@ Pittsburgh	L 4-1	L
@ Pittsburgh	W 6-0	W
@ Minnesota	L 7-2	L
@ Minnesota	W 3-0	W

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Prediction

Given Steven Kwan's impressive form and the favorable odds, our pick is for Steven Kwan to record Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110). Kwan's ability to hit for both power and average, combined with the Phillies' recent struggles on the mound, make this a strong play.

Pick: Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)

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