Free MLB Player Props Picks: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/29
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 5:42:02 AM
Free MLB Player Props Picks: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/29
Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Milwaukee Brewers (60-45, first in the NL Central) will host the Atlanta Braves (56-48, second in the NL East) at American Family Field on Monday, July 29, 2024, with the game starting at 8:10 p.m. EDT. This marks the beginning of a three-game series between these two competitive teams. The Brewers have been strong at home with a 30-19 record, while the Braves have struggled slightly on the road, holding a 26-27 record away from home.
Milwaukee has been quite efficient when out-hitting their opponents, boasting a 44-4 record in such scenarios. The Brewers are coming off a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, sporting a .254 batting average and a respectable 3.42 ERA. Meanwhile, the Braves have had a tougher stretch, going 4-6 in their last 10 games with a .220 batting average and a 4.19 ERA.
This will be the first meeting between the two teams this season, and the Braves will look to improve their overall performance against a formidable Brewers team. Key players to watch include William Contreras for the Brewers, who has been hitting .286 with 26 doubles, a triple, and 11 home runs, and Austin Riley for the Braves, who has knocked 14 home runs and driven in 42 runs.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for William Contreras:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400), Under 0.5 (-700)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+425), Under 0.5 (-750)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+150), Under 0.5 (-205)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115), Under 0.5 (-155)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-125), Under 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120), Under 1.5 (-165)
Player Analysis
William Contreras has been a reliable hitter for the Brewers this season. With a .286 batting average, he has demonstrated his ability to get on base and produce runs. His 26 doubles and 11 home runs highlight his power and extra-base hit potential. Contreras has also been clutch in recent games, going 7-for-32 with a double and three home runs over his last 10 games.
Opposing Analysis
Contreras will face Grant Holmes of the Braves, who has a solid 2.70 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched. Holmes has allowed only 17 hits and 5 walks while striking out 21 batters. Despite Holmes' strong numbers, the Brewers' offense, led by Contreras, could pose a challenge, especially given their recent form.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 0-0 | 2.70 | 0.94 | 23.1 | 17 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 9-3 | 3.60 | 1.21 | 110.0 | 100 | 84 | 33 | 14 |
Team Previews
The Atlanta Braves have been strong in pitching with a collective 3.48 ERA, ranking second in the National League. Their hitters, however, have been inconsistent, with a team batting average of .254. Key hitters include Austin Riley, who has 14 home runs, and Travis d'Arnaud who has been hot recently, going 12-for-29 with two home runs in his last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Brewers, on the other hand, have a team ERA of 3.47, ranking third in the NL. Offensively, they have struggled a bit with a .239 team batting average, but they have been effective in key moments, as seen in their 44-4 record when out-hitting opponents. William Contreras has been a standout with his .286 average, 26 doubles, and 11 home runs.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez | SP | Day-to-day (forearm) |
| Michael Harris II | CF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Gasser | RP | 60-Day IL (flexor) |
| Christian Yelich | LF | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Oliver Dunn | IF | 60-Day IL (back) |
Recent Games
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Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | W9-2 | W |
| @ New York | W4-0 | W |
| @ New York | L8-4 | L |
| @ New York | L3-2 F/10 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | L9-4 | L |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Miami | W6-2 | W |
| vs Miami | L7-3 | L |
| vs Miami | L6-2 | L |
| @ Chicago | W3-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W1-0 | W |
Prediction
Given William Contreras' recent form and the odds available, the best value prop bet for this game is for Contreras to score Over 0.5 runs (+115). Contreras has been consistently getting on base and has the ability to drive in and score runs, especially against a Braves team that has shown vulnerability in recent games.
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