Kingpin analysis

Frankie Montas Player Props Prediction: Brewers vs Athletics

Frankie Montas Player Props Prediction: Brewers vs Athletics

Frankie Montas Player Props Prediction: Brewers vs Athletics

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers (75-54) will face off against the Oakland Athletics (55-75) on Sunday, August 25, 2024, at the Oakland Coliseum, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:07 p.m. EDT. This matchup marks the third game of a three-game series, where the Brewers are aiming for a sweep after winning the first two games decisively. The Brewers currently sit first in the NL Central, while the Athletics are fourth in the AL West.

In their last 10 games, the Brewers have been on a hot streak, boasting an 8-2 record with a 2.93 ERA and outscoring their opponents by 14 runs. Contrastingly, the Athletics have struggled, going 4-6 with a .227 batting average and a 4.10 ERA, being outscored by 17 runs. Historically, the Brewers have had a strong performance against the Athletics, contributing to their confidence heading into this match.

The Brewers have been particularly effective when recording at least eight hits, holding a 53-19 record in such games this season. The Athletics, on the other hand, have shown power at the plate, ranking seventh in the majors with 159 home runs, averaging 1.2 per game.

Top performers for the Athletics include Brent Rooker, who leads the team with 30 home runs and a .569 slugging percentage. On the Brewers' side, Willy Adames has been impressive with 22 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has recently been in good form, hitting .333 over his last 10 games.

With both teams eyeing a crucial victory, this matchup promises to be a thrilling conclusion to the series.

Player Prop Odds

For Frankie Montas, the player prop odds are as follows:

  • Pitcher Record a Win: No -180.0, Yes +140.0

Player Analysis

Frankie Montas has had a mixed season with a record of 6-8 and an ERA of 4.57. His WHIP stands at 1.39, indicating he allows a decent number of baserunners. Over 114.1 innings pitched, he has struck out 99 batters while allowing 110 hits. His strikeout rate is respectable, but he also gives up home runs, having allowed 16 this season.

Despite his challenges, Montas has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in high-pressure situations. His four-seam fastball and splitter are his primary weapons, and when he's on, he can dominate opposing lineups. However, consistency has been an issue, making his win prop a risky bet.

Opposing Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers will present a challenge for Montas. They possess a lineup that can capitalize on mistakes, especially with players like Willy Adames and Brent Rooker, who have both been performing at an elite level. The Brewers' ability to generate runs is backed by their solid hitting stats; they rank 25th in the league in runs scored despite being first in their division.

Moreover, the Brewers have a tendency to exploit pitchers who struggle with control, which could be a concern for Montas given his WHIP. If Montas cannot locate his fastball effectively, he could face a lot of trouble against this lineup.

Prop Analysis

When evaluating Montas' prop for a win, it's essential to consider his recent form and the opposing team's offensive capabilities. At -180 for a loss, the odds suggest a high likelihood of him not getting the win, while the +140 for a win reflects the risk involved.

Given the Brewers’ recent success and Montas’ inconsistency, betting on him to record a win might not be the safest choice. However, if he can harness his best stuff and limit the damage, there's potential for Montas to rise to the occasion.

Starting Pitching Summary - Milwaukee Brewers

The starting pitcher for the Brewers, Frankie Montas, is entering this game with a record of 6-8 and a 4.57 ERA. He has demonstrated the ability to strike out hitters, but his penchant for giving up home runs could be problematic. His last few outings have seen him allowing multiple earned runs, which raises questions about his effectiveness against a power-hitting team like the Athletics.

Starting Pitching Summary - Oakland Athletics

Joey Estes, the Athletics' starter, has a record of 5-6 with a 4.44 ERA. His WHIP is a solid 1.15, indicating he has been effective at limiting baserunners. Estes has shown potential with 71 strikeouts over 95.1 innings pitched, and he will need to bring his A-game to compete against the Brewers' lineup. If he can control the game early, the Athletics may stand a chance to pull off an upset.

Bullpen Summary - Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers’ bullpen has been solid, with a mix of reliable arms that can close out games. Despite a few injuries, they maintain depth and experience, which has been crucial in tight games. They will need to be at their best if Montas struggles early on.

Bullpen Summary - Oakland Athletics

The Athletics' bullpen has been a point of concern this season. While they have some talented arms, they have struggled with consistency. If Estes cannot go deep into the game, it could put significant pressure on the bullpen to keep the game within reach.

Team Previews

The Milwaukee Brewers are a competitive team, showing resilience and the ability to score runs in key moments. While their overall batting average is below league average, their ability to hit with runners in scoring position has been a significant factor in their success.

On the flip side, the Oakland Athletics have shown flashes of brilliance but are currently in a rebuilding phase. Injuries have plagued their roster, and their pitching staff needs to step up to support their offense, which can be explosive when healthy.

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Christian Yelich: 10-Day IL (Back)
  • Hoby Milner: 15-Day IL (Shoulder)

Oakland Athletics

  • Esteury Ruiz: 10-Day IL (Wrist)

Recent Games

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent Score W/L
St. Louis W 11-3 W
St. Louis W 9-5 W
Atlanta L 5-1 L
Atlanta W 8-3 W
Atlanta L 6-2 L

Oakland Athletics

Opponent Score W/L
Milwaukee L 11-3 L
Milwaukee L 9-5 L
Texas L 8-3 L
Texas W 10-1 W
Texas L 5-4 L

Prediction

Pick: Bet on Montas to record a win at +140.0, as the Brewers' offense could struggle against his fastball if he finds his rhythm early in the game.

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Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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