EASY EASY Money on this Over/Under Reds vs Mets 9/7
Read our expert analysis of the Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets matchup on September 7. Get the latest odds, pitching stats, and betting trends to make an informed pick on the Over/Under.
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds are set to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on September 7. This game is crucial for both teams as the season approaches its final stretch. The Reds come into this matchup with a record of 77-64, putting them in a strong position in the playoff race. They have had a solid season overall, particularly excelling in hitting with a team batting average of .249 and ranked 8th in runs scored with 670. Their pitching has also been respectable, boasting an ERA of 4.02, which is ranked 15th in the league.
On the other hand, the Mets, with a record of 68-74, have struggled this season. Their hitting has not been as effective, as they rank 24th with a .234 batting average and a total of 634 runs scored. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.13, putting them in the middle of the pack at 16th overall. The Mets will be looking to take advantage of their home field to gain a much-needed win against a playoff-contending team.
Both teams have shown inconsistency, but the Reds have been slightly better in recent matchups. The starting pitchers for this game are Jose Quintana for the Reds and Jakob Junis for the Mets. Quintana has struggled a bit this season with a 7-9 record and a 4.27 ERA. Meanwhile, Junis has been more effective, boasting a 4-0 record and an impressive ERA of 3.13 over 46 innings pitched. This pitching duel will be crucial in determining which team can control the game and limit scoring opportunities.
The Reds' recent performance has seen them winning more games, which could give them an edge heading into this contest. Historical matchups also lean towards the Reds, adding layers to the intrigue of this game. The weather forecast predicts partly sunny conditions with a high of 81 degrees, which could lead to good hitting conditions.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Cincinnati Reds Moneyline | -122 |
| New York Mets Moneyline | +100 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Junis (NYM) | 4-0 | 3.13 | 0.98 | 46.0 | 34 | 6 | 6 |
| Jose Quintana (CIN) | 7-9 | 4.27 | 1.32 | 145.1 | 112 | 57 | 22 |
Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
The Reds have had a productive season, ranking 10th in hits with 1192 and demonstrating their ability to score runs. Their hitting lineup features some powerful bats, including Pete Alonso, who has racked up 31 home runs this season. The Reds have managed to stay competitive despite some inconsistencies in their pitching staff. Quintana's performance will be pivotal in this game; if he can limit the Mets' scoring, it will allow the Reds' offense to thrive. Their bullpen has also been effective, with a total of 35 saves on the season.
New York Mets
The Mets have struggled this year, particularly with their hitting, where they rank 26th in the league for hits. Despite some bright spots in their lineup, they have not been able to consistently produce runs. Their pitching has been a mixed bag, with Junis being one of the more reliable options. If he can continue his strong performance, the Mets have a chance to keep this game close. Their bullpen has underperformed relative to expectations, which could be a factor if the game is close late.
Team Injuries
Cincinnati Reds
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 17 |
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff McNeil | 2B | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Sep 8 |
Betting Trends
- The Reds are 5-1 in their last six games against the Mets.
- The Mets are 2-5 in their last seven home games.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the Reds' last 7 games.
- The Reds are 7-3 in their last ten games overall.
- The Mets are 3-7 in their last ten games overall.
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Houston | W5-3 | W |
| vs Houston | W12-5 | W |
| vs Houston | W1-0 | W |
| @ New York | L6-4 | L |
| vs Boston | W4-1 | W |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cincinnati | W6-4 F/10 | W |
| vs Boston | W7-2 | W |
| vs Boston | W8-3 | W |
| vs Baltimore | W4-3 | W |
| vs Baltimore | L9-5 | L |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | 12th | 15th | Tied-11th | 5th |
| New York Mets | 24th | 16th | Tied-25th | 4th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Reds are 7-3 in their last ten games.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Mets' last 9 games.
- The Reds are 5-1 in their last six games against teams with losing records.
- Quintana has a 4.27 ERA, but has had strong performances in high-pressure situations.
- The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games.
- The Mets have scored more than 4 runs in only 3 of their last 10 games.
- Junis has allowed an average of 3 runs over his last 3 starts.
- The Reds are hitting .265 against right-handed pitching this season.
- The Mets are 7-13 in their last 20 games as an underdog.
- Both teams struggle against left-handed pitchers, which could affect scoring.
Weather
Partly sunny with a temperature of 81°F.
