EASY EASY Money on this Over/Under - Mets vs Blue Jays 9/10
Read our expert analysis and predictions for the upcoming game between the New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays on September 10. Discover the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team insights that can help you make informed betting decisions.
Game Summary
The New York Mets are set to face the Toronto Blue Jays on September 10, 2024, at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. The matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons; the Mets are currently struggling with a record of 68-77, while the Blue Jays are in a playoff race with a record of 79-65. The Mets have had a tumultuous season, highlighted by inconsistent pitching and a lack of offensive production. They rank 16th in hits with 1166 and 17th in runs scored with 611. On the other side, the Blue Jays have been a competitive force in the league, ranking 9th in hits (1211) and tied for 8th in runs scored (681).
Historically, the Mets and Blue Jays have battled fiercely, but recent matchups have favored the Blue Jays, who have consistently been a more dominant team this season. The Mets will rely on their starting pitcher Chris Bassitt, who has struggled this season with a 4.30 ERA and 13 losses. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays will counter with David Peterson, who boasts an impressive 2.75 ERA and a stellar 9-1 record. The pitching matchup heavily favors the Blue Jays, which could be crucial in determining the game’s outcome.
Furthermore, the Blue Jays have been playing excellent baseball recently, winning crucial games to stay in contention for a Wild Card spot in the playoffs. They will look to capitalize on the Mets’ pitching struggles and exploit their weaknesses. The game is expected to be competitive, with the Blue Jays being the favorites to win. However, the Mets will be looking to salvage their season with a strong performance against a division rival.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type |
Odds |
| Moneyline - New York Mets |
-130 |
| Moneyline - Toronto Blue Jays |
+110 |
| Over/Under |
8.5 |
| Spread - New York Mets |
-1.5 |
| Spread - Toronto Blue Jays |
+1.5 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher |
W-L |
ERA |
WHIP |
IP |
H |
K |
BB |
HR |
| David Peterson (TOR) |
9-1 |
2.75 |
1.31 |
98.1 |
89 |
81 |
40 |
8 |
| Chris Bassitt (NYM) |
9-13 |
4.30 |
1.43 |
157.0 |
165 |
156 |
59 |
18 |
Team Previews
New York Mets
The New York Mets have had a disappointing season, currently sitting at 68-77. Their hitting ranks 16th in the league with a batting average of .242. They have a total of 1166 hits and 611 runs scored this season. Their pitching has also been a concern, with an overall ERA of 4.35, ranking them 23rd in the league. Chris Bassitt, their expected starter, has faced challenges this year, leading to a 9-13 record. The Mets' relief pitching has been inconsistent, and they rank 8th in errors with 84. Key players like Pete Alonso, who has 31 home runs and 84 RBIs, will need to step up for the Mets to compete effectively.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Toronto Blue Jays, on the other hand, are having a strong season with a record of 79-65. They rank 9th in hits with 1211 and are tied for 8th in runs with 681. Their batting average of .248 reflects their ability to produce offensively. David Peterson is having a breakout season with a 9-1 record and an impressive 2.75 ERA, which positions him as a potential ace for the Blue Jays. The team's relief pitching, while solid, has its moments of inconsistency. The Blue Jays are looking to secure a playoff spot, and their recent form suggests they have the momentum to carry them through this matchup.
Team Injuries
New York Mets Injuries
| Player Name |
Position |
Injury |
Injury Status |
| Paul Blackburn |
SP |
Hand |
Expected to be out until at least Sep 20 |
| Drew Smith |
RP |
Elbow |
Out for the season |
| Christian Scott |
SP |
Elbow |
Expected to be out until at least Sep 19 |
Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
| Player Name |
Position |
Injury |
Injury Status |
| Vladimir Guerrero |
1B |
Toe |
Probable for Sep 10 |
| Bo Bichette |
SS |
Calf |
Expected to be out until at least Sep 17 |
Betting Trends
- The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against teams with winning records.
- The Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall.
- The Over is 5-2 in the Mets' last 7 games.
- The Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- The Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 games against the Blue Jays.
Recent Games
New York Mets
| Opponent |
Score |
W/L |
| vs Boston |
W4-1 |
W |
| vs Boston |
W7-2 |
W |
| vs Boston |
W8-3 |
W |
| vs Cincinnati |
W6-4 |
W |
| vs Cincinnati |
W4-0 |
W |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent |
Score |
W/L |
| vs New York |
L3-2 |
L |
| vs New York |
L3-2 |
L |
| @ Atlanta |
W9-5 |
W |
| @ Atlanta |
L4-3 F/11 |
L |
| @ Atlanta |
L3-1 |
L |
Team Rankings
| Category |
New York Mets |
Toronto Blue Jays |
| Hitting |
16th |
9th |
| Starting Pitching |
23rd |
14th |
| Relief Pitching |
Tied-14th |
Tied-14th |
| Fielding |
8th |
5th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Mets are 78-65 against the spread this season.
- The Blue Jays are 68-76 against the spread this season.
- The Mets have a 72-67 record in Over/Under bets.
- The Blue Jays have hit the Over in 75 of their games.
- The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 games against a left-handed starter.
- The Mets have scored an average of 4.5 runs in their last 5 games.
- The Blue Jays have allowed an average of 3.0 runs in their last 5 games.
- The Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 games against teams with winning records.
- The Blue Jays have a 6-1 record in their last 7 games overall.
Weather
The weather for the game day is expected to be clear skies with a temperature around 75°F, making it ideal for baseball.
Prediction
With the Mets struggling to find consistency and the Blue Jays riding a hot streak, the odds heavily favor Toronto. David Peterson's excellent form gives the Blue Jays a significant edge, especially against a struggling Chris Bassitt. Expect the Blue Jays to capitalize on the Mets' pitching weaknesses and take the game. Additionally, with the Mets' recent over trend and the Blue Jays' ability to score runs, the Over/Under line looks favorable.
Pick: Blue Jays to win and Over 8.5 runs