Dodgers vs Mariners Prediction MLB Picks Today 8/20
- Lm Tipster
- Aug 20, 2024, 1:19:12 AM
© Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports
Game Preview: Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction - August 20, 2024
Introduction
The Seattle Mariners, with a record of 64-61, will face the Los Angeles Dodgers, who stand at 73-52, at Dodger Stadium on August 20, 2024. This matchup features two teams in the thick of the playoff race, with the Dodgers looking to maintain their lead in the NL West while the Mariners are battling to stay in the AL Wild Card hunt.
Odds Table
| Team | Moneyline | Run Line | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (64-61) | +130 | +1.5 (-165) | O 8.5 (-105) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers (73-52) | -155 | -1.5 (+140) | U 8.5 (-115) |
Interpretation: The Dodgers are favored with a moneyline of -155, while the Mariners are underdogs at +130. The total is set at 8.5 runs, with the under slightly favored, indicating a close, possibly low-scoring game is expected.
Team Analysis
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners have been an up-and-down team this season, struggling especially on the road where they are 27-35. Despite their inconsistencies, they remain in the playoff mix thanks to a strong pitching staff led by Bryce Miller and a lineup that can produce power, led by Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez.
Bryce Miller will take the mound for the Mariners. Miller has been a bright spot in Seattle's rotation, boasting a 9-7 record with a 3.29 ERA and a WHIP of 1.00. He has been reliable in keeping opponents off the bases and minimizing damage, making him a key player in this matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been one of the best teams in the National League this season, particularly at home where they boast a 38-22 record. Their lineup, anchored by Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman, is one of the most potent in baseball. However, their pitching staff has faced some challenges, especially with Walker Buehler struggling to find his form.
Walker Buehler will start for the Dodgers, bringing a 1-4 record with a 5.58 ERA into the game. Buehler has been far from his best this season, struggling with command and giving up a lot of hits and walks. His high WHIP of 1.56 suggests that the Mariners could have opportunities to score if they are patient at the plate.
Starting Pitcher Analysis
Seattle Mariners - Bryce Miller (RHP)
Miller has been a consistent performer for the Mariners, with a strong 3.29 ERA over 139.2 innings. He has a low WHIP of 1.00, indicating that he rarely allows baserunners, and his 128 strikeouts suggest he can miss bats effectively. Miller's ability to control the game will be crucial against the Dodgers' powerful lineup.
Los Angeles Dodgers - Walker Buehler (RHP)
Buehler has had a difficult season, reflected in his 5.58 ERA and 1-4 record. His WHIP of 1.56 indicates trouble with command and limiting baserunners, which has led to a higher number of runs allowed. Buehler's struggles have been surprising given his past success, and the Mariners will look to take advantage of his current form.
Recent Performance
Seattle Mariners
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 8/18/24 | @ PIT | W 10-3 |
| 8/17/24 | @ PIT | L 7-2 |
| 8/16/24 | @ PIT | L 5-3 |
| 8/15/24 | @ DET | L 2-1 |
| 8/14/24 | @ DET | L 3-2 F/10 |
The Mariners have won just one of their last five games, struggling on the road. However, their recent blowout win over the Pirates could provide some momentum heading into this tough matchup against the Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 8/18/24 | @ STL | W 2-1 |
| 8/17/24 | @ STL | L 5-2 |
| 8/16/24 | @ STL | W 7-6 |
| 8/15/24 | @ MIL | L 6-4 |
| 8/14/24 | @ MIL | L 5-4 |
The Dodgers have won three of their last five games, including a tight 2-1 victory over the Cardinals. Despite some recent losses, they have been competitive in most games, showcasing their ability to win close contests.
Head-to-Head Comparison
This will be the first matchup of the season between the Mariners and Dodgers, setting the stage for an intriguing series. The Dodgers have historically had the upper hand in interleague play, but the Mariners' strong pitching gives them a fighting chance in this series.
Against the Spread (ATS) Records
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners are 61-64 ATS this season, with a road ATS record of 29-33. As underdogs, they are 30-34 ATS, reflecting their struggles in tight matchups.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers are 67-58 ATS overall, with a solid 34-26 record at home. They are 45-41 ATS as favorites, showing their ability to cover spreads when expected to win.
Betting Stats and Trends
Seattle Mariners:
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games.
- Seattle is 2-3 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road.
- Seattle is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against the Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers:
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles' last 7 games.
- Los Angeles is 3-2 SU in their last 5 games.
- Los Angeles is 6-4 SU in their last 10 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles' last 9 games against AL opponents.
Prediction
This matchup is closer than the odds suggest, with both teams having strengths that could decide the game. The Mariners have an edge in starting pitching with Bryce Miller, who has been in better form than Walker Buehler. The Dodgers' inconsistent offense could struggle against Miller, especially given their recent performance trends.
Considering the pitching matchup and the value on the moneyline, the Seattle Mariners Moneyline (+130) is an appealing play. The Mariners have shown they can win in Los Angeles, and Miller's strong form gives them a legitimate shot at an upset.
