Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 27 (7/27): MLB

Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 27 (7/27): MLB

Credit: photo by Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:10 p.m. EST
Padres money line -138
Padres run line -1.5 (+130)
Tigers money line +115
Tigers run line +1.5 (-150)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Detroit Tigers San Diego Padres
Record 39-59 55-44
Home / road record 23-27 30-23
Last 10 record 2-8 5-5
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 38-55-5 44-51-2
Runs / game 3.15 4.31
Runs allowed / game 4.37 3.95

 

Preview

The Detroit Tigers and the San Diego Padres will play the 3rd game of the series at the Comerica Park on Wednesday afternoon. The Padres took the win 6-4 in extra innings and tied the series 1-1. Jorge Alfaro hit a 2 run single to complete a 3 run 10th inning and beat the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers get here with a 39-59 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 3.15 runs and batting for .228 AVG, 299 runs scored in 710 hits and 54 home runs, ranking #30 in offense, the worst in the league behind the Oakland Athletics. Miguel Cabrera leads the team batting for .282 AVG, Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 9 and 36 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.37 runs per game and ranking #19 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 3.88 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Tarik Skubal (7-8, 3.88 ERA) will be on the mound for the Tigers in the 3rd game of the series. Skubal earned the win in Game 1 of Thursday's doubleheader against the Athletics, allowing one unearned run on two hits over six innings. He only walked two batters and struck out nine.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 55-44 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.31 runs per game and they're batting for .240 AVG, have 414 runs scored in 777 hits and 80 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Manny Machado is leading the team with 16 home runs and 54 RBI and a batting average of .303.

Defensively they are allowing 3.95 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.63 ERA, 106 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:

Yu Darvish (9-4, 3.28 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 3rd game of the series. Darvish earned the victory in Friday's 4-1 victory over the Mets by pitching seven innings while giving up just one run on four hits and a walk. He got nine outs. He has a record of 7-0 with an ERA of 3.47 and 47 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Tigers in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego Padres are 3-5 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 6 games at home.

Detroit Tigers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Padres bounced back and beat the Tigers but wasn't easy as they had to go to extra innings. They'll try to win this series by sending one of their best arms. Yu Darvish is coming from a great start against the Mets where he allowed only 1 run across 7 innings pitched and has dominated the Tigers in his career. He has won every single game he has pitched against Detroit. Tarik Skubal will get the ball for the Tigers who had a good last start but was against one of the worst offenses in the league, the A's. Before that game Skubal was struggling and allowing multiple runs in every game. Expect another dominant performance from Darvish and the Padres offense to find the way to get Skubal and the Tigers bullpen. Padres win.

PICK: Padres ML (-138)

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