MLB Player Props Value Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Preview:
The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Tampa Bay Rays in the first game of a three-game series on Tuesday, July 23, 2024, at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays, currently fifth in the AL East with a 45-54 record, have struggled at home with a 22-26 record. However, they sport the seventh-ranked team on-base percentage in the AL at .311. The Rays, fourth in the AL East with a 50-50 record, have been better on the road with a 23-23 record. The Rays have a formidable 19-7 record in games when they did not give up a home run.

This game marks the eighth meeting between these two teams this season, with the Rays leading the season series 4-3. Both teams have had mixed results in their last 10 games, with the Blue Jays going 5-5 and the Rays 6-4. The Blue Jays have been outscored by nine runs during this stretch, while the Rays have outscored their opponents by one run.

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Player Prop Odds

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390), Under 0.5 (-650)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-160)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+185), Under 0.5 (-260)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135), Under 0.5 (-190)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+140), Under 0.5 (-195)
Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-170), Under 0.5 (+125)

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Player Analysis

Davis Schneider: The Blue Jays' infielder Davis Schneider has shown potential throughout the season. Although his average may not be eye-catching, he has the ability to come through in clutch situations. Schneider's recent form suggests that he could be a key player in this matchup against the Rays. He has consistently contributed with RBIs and has a knack for getting on base, which makes the over on hits and total bases intriguing bets.

Opposing Analysis

Rays' Pitching: The Rays will start Shawn Armstrong, who has a 2-2 record with a 5.91 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 42.2 innings. Armstrong has struggled to keep runs off the board and has been prone to giving up hits. The Rays' bullpen has been solid but will be tested if Armstrong cannot go deep into the game. The Blue Jays' hitters will look to capitalize on Armstrong's struggles, particularly with players like Davis Schneider who can exploit his weaknesses.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
S. Armstrong (Rays)	2-2	5.91	1.64	42.2	52	45	18	5
J. Berrios (Blue Jays)	8-7	4.01	1.18	119.0	108	87	33	21

Team Previews

Tampa Bay Rays:
The Rays are a team that relies heavily on their pitching staff, despite the struggles of Shawn Armstrong. Their offense is led by Isaac Paredes and Randy Arozarena, who have been consistent contributors. The Rays are currently ranked 27th in hits (772) and 25th in runs (402), with a team batting average of .237. Their bullpen has 24 saves, ranking 19th in MLB, and their team ERA is 4.47, which is 25th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 57 errors, tying them for 10th in MLB.

Toronto Blue Jays:
The Blue Jays have struggled this season, but they have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly from their offense. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with 16 home runs and a .473 slugging percentage. George Springer has also been in good form recently. The Blue Jays are ranked 24th in hits (782) and 27th in runs (393), with a team batting average of .235. Their pitching staff, led by Jose Berrios, has a team ERA of 4.23, ranking 22nd in the league, and their bullpen has recorded 32 saves, ranking 4th in MLB. Defensively, they have committed 51 errors, tying them for 17th in MLB.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Ryan Pepiot	SP	15-Day IL (knee)
Richard Lovelady	RP	15-Day IL (forearm)
Jacob Waguespack	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Jeffrey Springs	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Drew Rasmussen	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Shane McClanahan	SP	60-Day IL (forearm)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Bo Bichette	SS	10-Day IL (calf)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	10-Day IL (knee)
Jordan Romano	RP	15-Day IL (elbow)
Alek Manoah	SP	15-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ New York	L 6-1	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ New York	W 9-1	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ New York	W 6-4	W
Mon, Jul 22	@ New York	L 9-1	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Toronto	7:07 PM	Upcoming

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Detroit	L 5-4	L
Sat, Jul 20	vs Detroit	L 7-3	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs Detroit	W 5-4	W
Tue, Jul 23	vs Tampa Bay	7:07 PM	Upcoming

Prediction

Pick: Over 0.5 Hits for Davis Schneider (-160)

Given Davis Schneider's recent form and the struggles of Rays' pitcher Shawn Armstrong, the over 0.5 hits for Schneider seems like a solid bet. Armstrong's high ERA and WHIP suggest that he is prone to giving up hits, and Schneider has shown the ability to get on base consistently. This makes the over on hits at -160 a strong play.

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