David Fry's MLB Props - Tigers vs Guardians 7/23

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Game Summary

On July 23, 2024, the Detroit Tigers will face off against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio, at 6:40 p.m. EDT. The Guardians, who are currently first in the AL Central with a 59-40 record, are looking to end a three-game losing streak. Meanwhile, the Tigers, who hold a 50-51 record, are aiming to continue their recent strong performances. Detroit has the upper hand in the season series, leading 5-3 in their previous eight matchups.

Cleveland has been dominant at home with a 31-14 record, and they’ve been effective in games where they do not concede home runs, holding a 26-13 record in such scenarios. Conversely, the Tigers have been decent on the road, with a 26-27 record, and have hit 105 home runs this season, ranking ninth in the AL.

In their last 10 games, the Guardians have struggled, going 3-7 with a .211 batting average and a 4.03 ERA, while being outscored by 18 runs. The Tigers, on the other hand, have been in good form, going 7-3 with a .277 batting average and a 4.15 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 21 runs.

Notable performers include Jose Ramirez for the Guardians, who has 21 doubles, a triple, and 23 home runs. For the Tigers, Riley Greene leads with 17 home runs and a .493 slugging percentage. Injuries will play a role, with key players like Shane Bieber and Kerry Carpenter on the IL for their respective teams.

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Player Prop Odds

David Fry (CLE) - Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+280)

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Player Analysis

David Fry has been a consistent performer for the Cleveland Guardians, particularly when it comes to getting on base. This season, Fry has shown remarkable plate discipline and a knack for coming through in clutch situations. With a batting average hovering around .268, Fry has demonstrated his ability to make consistent contact. Additionally, his on-base percentage and slugging metrics indicate that he is not just a singles hitter but can drive the ball with authority.

Over the past 10 games, Fry has been especially hot, going 8-for-41, which includes two doubles and two home runs. His recent performance suggests that he is seeing the ball well and making good swing decisions. Given his recent form, the over 1.5 hits prop at +280 offers substantial value.

Opposing Analysis

The Detroit Tigers will likely be starting an undecided pitcher, making it crucial to look at their overall pitching stats. The Tigers' pitching staff has been somewhat middle-of-the-pack this season, with a team ERA of 4.15. While they have been able to limit opponents to a .242 batting average, they have struggled in high-leverage situations, as indicated by their 50-51 record.

Relief pitching has been one of Detroit's stronger suits, with the bullpen accumulating 34 saves, ranking second in the league. However, inconsistency in the starting rotation has often put the bullpen in difficult situations. Given these dynamics, Fry will likely face a mix of starters and relievers, which could work in his favor, especially if the starter struggles early.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Undecided (DET)	--	--	--
Xzavion Curry (CLE)	0-2	5.19	12

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Team Previews

Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers have shown a balanced approach in their recent games. Offensively, they have been solid, ranking 12th in runs scored with 464 and 16th in batting average at .242. Their power-hitting has been a key factor, with the team hitting 105 home runs, ranking them ninth in the AL.

On the mound, the Tigers have had their ups and downs. Their team ERA of 4.15 places them in the middle of the pack. The bullpen has been a strong point, recording 34 saves, the second-most in the league. However, the inconsistency of their starting rotation has been a challenge.

Cleveland Guardians

The Cleveland Guardians have been a formidable team, particularly at home where they hold a 31-14 record. Offensively, they have been average, with a team batting average of .234 and 437 runs scored. Jose Ramirez has been a standout, leading the team with 23 home runs and 80 RBIs.

Pitching has been the Guardians' strength, with a team ERA of 3.69, ranking sixth in the league. Their starters have been reliable, and while the bullpen has had its struggles with 22 saves, the overall pitching staff has been effective in limiting opponents' scoring opportunities.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Casey Mize	SP	15-Day IL (Hamstring)
Kerry Carpenter	OF	60-Day IL (Spine)
Reese Olson	SP	15-Day IL (Shoulder)
Parker Meadows	OF	10-Day IL (Hamstring)
Sawyer Gipson-Long	RP	60-Day IL (Groin)

Player	Position	Injury Status
Shane Bieber	SP	60-Day IL (Elbow)
Trevor Stephan	RP	60-Day IL (Elbow)
James Karinchak	RP	60-Day IL (Shoulder)
Sam Hentges	RP	15-Day IL (Undisclosed)
Matthew Boyd	SP	15-Day IL (Elbow)

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Recent Games

Detroit Tigers

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Toronto	W 5-4	Win
@ Toronto	W 7-3	Win
@ Toronto	L 5-4	Loss
@ Cleveland	W 8-2	Win
@ Cleveland	6:40 PM	Upcoming

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs San Diego	W 7-0	Win
vs San Diego	L 7-0	Loss
vs San Diego	L 2-1	Loss
vs Detroit	L 8-2	Loss
vs Detroit	6:40 PM	Upcoming

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Prediction

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