Dansby Swanson Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/2

- Big Ben Profits
- Aug 2, 2024, 12:56:08 PM
Dansby Swanson Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/2
Game Summary
The St. Louis Cardinals (56-53) are set to face the Chicago Cubs (53-58) in the second game of their series at Wrigley Field on August 2, 2024, with the first pitch scheduled for 2:20 PM EDT. The Cardinals are currently second in the NL Central, while the Cubs sit fifth. The Cubs lead the season series 1-0, having won the previous game 5-4. Historically, the Cardinals have the upper hand, leading the season matchup 6-4.
In their last ten games, the Cardinals hold a record of 4-6, with a .251 batting average and a 4.69 ERA, having been outscored by five runs. Meanwhile, the Cubs have gone 5-5, with a .241 batting average and a 4.03 ERA, outscoring their opponents by four runs. The Cardinals boast the eighth-ranked on-base percentage in the NL at .310, indicating their ability to get runners on base.
The anticipated pitching matchup features Erick Fedde (7-4, 3.11 ERA) for the Cardinals and Javier Assad (5-3, 3.23 ERA) for the Cubs. Both pitchers have been effective this season, and their performances could significantly impact the game's outcome. The weather is expected to be favorable for baseball, with intermittent clouds and a temperature around 79°F.
Player Prop Odds
For Dansby Swanson, the player prop odds are as follows:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+150)
Player Analysis
Dansby Swanson has been a key contributor for the Cubs this season, showcasing his versatility both at the plate and in the field. He has a batting average of .281, with 19 home runs and 63 RBIs. Swanson's ability to get on base is reflected in his impressive .373 on-base percentage, making him a constant threat to score runs. His recent form has been commendable, contributing significantly to the Cubs' offense.
In his last ten games, Swanson has been particularly effective, showcasing power and consistency. With a combination of speed and contact hitting, he has the potential to exceed his prop odds for singles, RBIs, and runs scored in today's matchup.
Opposing Analysis
The Cardinals' pitching staff, particularly Erick Fedde, poses a challenge for Swanson. Fedde has a solid 3.11 ERA and is known for keeping hitters off balance. However, he has shown vulnerability against left-handed batters, which could work to Swanson's advantage. The Cardinals' bullpen has also struggled at times, particularly after the starters exit, which provides further opportunity for Swanson to capitalize on scoring chances.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde | STL | 7-4 | 3.11 | 108 |
| Javier Assad | CHC | 5-3 | 3.23 | 86 |
Team Previews
The St. Louis Cardinals have shown mixed results this season, ranking 24th in batting average at .234 and 17th in runs scored with 462. Their pitching ranks 9th in the league with a 3.79 ERA, indicating a strong staff. However, their offensive struggles have hindered their performance, especially in tight games.
On the other hand, the Chicago Cubs have a stronger batting average of .247 and have hit 916 total hits this season. Their pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.05, ranking them 17th, which suggests that while their offense is performing well, their pitching is average and can be exploited.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Riley O'Brien | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | Out for the season |
Recent Games
St. Louis Cardinals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | L 4-5 | L |
| vs Texas | W 10-1 | W |
| vs Texas | W 8-1 | W |
| vs Washington | L 14-3 | L |
| vs Washington | L 10-8 | L |
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | W 5-4 | W |
| @ Cincinnati | W 13-4 | W |
| @ Cincinnati | L 6-3 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | L 7-1 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W 9-4 | W |
Prediction
Given the current form of Dansby Swanson and the conditions of the game, a solid pick would be to bet on Swanson to record over 1.5 total bases at +150. His recent performances indicate he’s likely to get at least one hit, and with his speed on the bases, he can easily accumulate the necessary total bases. Additionally, betting on him to score at least one run at +125 also appears favorable, as he has shown a high propensity to cross home plate when getting on base.


