Danny Jansen Player Props: Mariners vs Red Sox 7/31

Danny Jansen Player Props: Mariners vs Red Sox 7/31

### Game Summary

On July 31, 2024, the Seattle Mariners (57-52) will face off against the Boston Red Sox (56-50) at Fenway Park in a pivotal rubber match of their three-game series. Both teams currently sit in the playoff hunt, with the Mariners leading the AL West and the Red Sox in the third spot in the AL East. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they look to gain momentum heading into the final stretch of the season.

Recent performances have shown a stark contrast between the two teams. The Red Sox have struggled in their last ten games, posting a 3-7 record with a concerning 6.83 ERA, while being outscored by 16 runs. In contrast, the Mariners have managed a more respectable 5-5 record, holding a 3.64 ERA and outscoring opponents by six runs. This game marks the seventh encounter between these two teams this season, with the series tied at 3-3.

Historically, Fenway Park has been a challenging environment for visiting teams, but the Mariners' pitching staff leads MLB with a 3.48 ERA, which could prove pivotal in this matchup. Key players to watch include Seattle's Cal Raleigh, who has been on a hot streak with 23 home runs, and Boston's Rafael Devers, who leads the team with 24 home runs and a .600 slugging percentage.

As both teams look to secure a vital win, all eyes will be on the pitching matchup of George Kirby (8-7, 3.03 ERA) for the Mariners against Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.27 ERA) for the Red Sox. This game promises to be an exciting battle that could have significant implications for the postseason.

 

 

### Player Prop Odds - **Batter Doubles**: Over 0.5 (+285) - **Batter RBIs**: Over 0.5 (+170) - **Batter Runs Scored**: Over 0.5 (+105) - **Batter Singles**: Over 0.5 (+115) ### Player Analysis Danny Jansen has been a solid contributor for the Toronto Blue Jays this season, boasting a .215 batting average with 23 home runs and 67 RBIs. Over his last ten games, Jansen has shown significant power, recording several multi-hit performances, which makes him a player to watch in this matchup against the Mariners. His ability to drive in runs and score is crucial for the Blue Jays' success, especially as they face a formidable Mariners pitching staff led by Kirby, who has been exceptional in limiting runs. ### Opposing Analysis Facing George Kirby, who has a stellar 3.03 ERA and 129 strikeouts, presents a challenge for any batter, including Jansen. Kirby's ability to consistently induce ground balls and limit hard contact is a key factor in his success. Jansen's power will be tested against Kirby's impressive pitch selection and command. Historically, Jansen has fared decently against right-handed pitchers, but he will need to capitalize on any mistakes to produce runs. ### Pitching Probables | Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | |----------------|-------------|-----|------|------------| | George Kirby | Mariners | 8-7 | 3.03 | 129 | | Brayan Bello | Red Sox | 10-5 | 5.27 | 96 | ### Team Previews #### Seattle Mariners - **Record**: 57-52 - **Batting Average**: .260 (3rd in MLB) - **Runs**: 519 (7th in MLB) - **ERA**: 3.48 (1st in MLB) - **Key Players**: Cal Raleigh (23 HR, 67 RBI), Tyler O'Neill (hot streak with 6 HR in last 10 games). #### Boston Red Sox - **Record**: 56-50 - **Batting Average**: .219 (29th in MLB) - **Runs**: 429 (28th in MLB) - **ERA**: 3.47 (1st in MLB) - **Key Players**: Rafael Devers (24 HR, 68 RBI), Jorge Polanco (5 HR in last 10 games). ### Team Injuries #### Seattle Mariners | Player | Position | Injury Status | |-----------------|----------|-------------------------------------| | Victor Robles | RF | Day-to-day (hip) | | J.P. Crawford | SS | 10-Day IL (hand) | | Julio Rodriguez | CF | 10-Day IL (ankle) | #### Boston Red Sox | Player | Position | Injury Status | |-----------------|----------|-------------------------------------| | Liam Hendriks | RP | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 | ### Recent Games #### Seattle Mariners | Date | Opponent | Result | W/L | |------------|----------|---------|------| | Jul 26 | @ Chicago | W 10-0 | W | | Jul 27 | @ Chicago | W 6-3 | W | | Jul 28 | @ Chicago | W 6-3 | W | | Jul 29 | @ Boston | L 14-7 | L | | Jul 30 | @ Boston | W 10-6 | W | #### Boston Red Sox | Date | Opponent | Result | W/L | |------------|----------|---------|------| | Jul 26 | vs New York | W 9-7 | W | | Jul 27 | vs New York | L 11-8 F/10 | L | | Jul 28 | vs New York | L 8-2 | L | | Jul 29 | vs Seattle | W 14-7 | W | | Jul 30 | vs Seattle | L 10-6 | L | ### Prediction Given the current odds, I believe the best bet for Danny Jansen is to take the **Over 0.5 RBIs** at +170. With the Mariners' pitching staff, particularly George Kirby, being one of the best in the league, it may be a challenge for Jansen to get on base multiple times. However, his power potential and ability to drive in runs cannot be overlooked, especially if he can find himself in a scoring position.

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