Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/27

- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 8:53:54 AM
Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/27
Photo Credit: © Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Texas Rangers at the Rogers Centre on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 3:07 PM EDT. The Blue Jays, currently holding a 47-56 record, aim to extend their 1-0 series lead against the Rangers, who are 51-53 on the season. The Blue Jays have struggled at home with a 24-28 record but look to leverage their batting strength against a Rangers team that has performed poorly on the road (22-30).
Both teams are coming off varying performances in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have a 4-6 record, batting .241 with a 6.53 ERA, and have been outscored by 26 runs. In contrast, the Rangers have been more effective, going 7-3 with a .212 batting average, a 3.55 ERA, and outscoring their opponents by 2 runs. Historically, these two teams have been evenly matched, making this game an exciting one for fans and bettors alike.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the odds for Danny Jansen's player props for today's game:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-170)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+140)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+150)
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Player Analysis
Danny Jansen has been a reliable performer for the Blue Jays this season. He has a batting average of .240 and has been impactful in key moments. In his last 10 games, Jansen has shown consistency, contributing significantly with his batting skills. With 8 home runs and 25 RBIs this season, Jansen’s presence in the lineup provides a much-needed boost for Toronto.
Opposing Analysis
Michael Lorenzen, the starting pitcher for the Rangers, has a respectable 5-5 record with a 3.53 ERA and a WHIP of 1.24. However, Lorenzen has shown vulnerability against power hitters, allowing 14 home runs in 97 innings. Jansen's ability to hit for extra bases could exploit Lorenzen's weaknesses, making the over 1.5 total bases an attractive prop bet.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen (TEX) | 5-5 | 3.53 | 1.24 | 97.0 | 74 | 73 | 46 | 14 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 8-8 | 4.55 | 1.30 | 110.2 | 114 | 109 | 30 | 16 |
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Team Previews
Texas Rangers
The Rangers have struggled offensively this season, ranking 21st in batting average (.236) and 26th in runs scored (416). Their pitching staff has also underperformed, with a team ERA of 4.54, ranking 27th in the league. Defensively, they’ve committed 57 errors, placing them 12th in the league. The Rangers need to improve in all facets to compete more effectively.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have a slightly better offensive profile, ranking 17th in batting average (.240) and 18th in runs scored (446). Their pitching staff has been more consistent, with a team ERA of 3.99, ranking 16th. However, their defense has been a weak spot, committing 45 errors, which is tied for 27th in the league. The Blue Jays will rely on their offense to offset their defensive lapses.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Pruitt | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Evan Carter | LF | Sat, Jul 27 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 |
| Cody Bradford | SP | Sat, Jul 27 | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2B | Fri, Jul 26 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 31 |
Recent Games
Texas Rangers
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Baltimore | L 9-1 | 46-51 | Burnes 10-4 | Eovaldi 6-4 | NaN | 36,336 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Baltimore | L 8-4 | 46-52 | Rodriguez 12-4 | Scherzer 1-3 | NaN | 38,410 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Baltimore | W 3-2 | 47-52 | Heaney 4-10 | Kremer 4-6 | Yates 17 | 31,808 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Chicago | W 4-3 F/10 | 48-52 | Hernandez 3-0 | Wilson 1-6 | NaN | 30,832 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Chicago | W 3-2 | 49-52 | Gray 5-4 | Crochet 6-7 | Yates 18 | 39,240 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Detroit | L 5-4 | 44-53 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39,697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Detroit | L 7-3 | 44-54 | Faedo 5-1 | Kikuchi 4-9 | NaN | 38,583 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Detroit | W 5-4 | 45-54 | Gausman 8-8 | Montero 1-3 | Green 7 | 38,766 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | 45-55 | Alexander 3-3 | Berrios 8-8 | Fairbanks 19 | 38,575 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | 46-55 | Cabrera 3-2 | Adam 4-2 | NaN | 32,276 |
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Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and Lorenzen's vulnerability to home runs, betting on Danny Jansen to go over 1.5 total bases at +150 odds seems like a solid pick. Jansen's recent performances and ability to hit for power make this prop bet particularly attractive.
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