Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/26

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:08:56 PM
Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins are set to take on the Milwaukee Brewers on July 26 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons. The Marlins, with a record of 59-43, are in the thick of the playoff hunt, while the Brewers, at 37-66, are struggling to find their footing. Miami has been impressive both at home (29-17) and on the road (30-26), showcasing a balanced and resilient team. In contrast, Milwaukee has found it tough both at home (22-34) and away (15-32), reflecting their position near the bottom of the standings.
Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Brewers. Milwaukee's struggles are compounded by injuries to key players, while Miami boasts strong performances from their core roster. The game promises to be an intriguing battle, especially with Freddy Peralta (6-5, 3.88 ERA) pitching for the Brewers and Trevor Rogers (1-9, 4.59 ERA) taking the mound for the Marlins.
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Player Prop Odds
For Bryan De La Cruz of the Miami Marlins:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450), Under 0.5 (-800)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-180), Under 0.5 (+130)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+245), Under 0.5 (-360)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+160), Under 0.5 (-225)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110), Under 0.5 (-155)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-180), Under 0.5 (+130)
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Player Analysis
Bryan De La Cruz has been a consistent performer for the Miami Marlins this season. He leads the team in home runs with 17 and has also driven in 50 runs. De La Cruz's batting average of .249, though not elite, indicates his capability to get on base and drive the ball when needed. His ability to contribute in multiple facets of the game makes him a valuable asset for the Marlins.
Opposing Analysis
Freddy Peralta of the Milwaukee Brewers will be pitching against De La Cruz. Peralta has had a solid season with a 6-5 record, a 3.88 ERA, and 138 strikeouts over 109 innings. He has a WHIP of 1.17, which indicates his ability to limit base runners. However, Peralta has also allowed 14 home runs, which could be an area for De La Cruz to exploit. The Brewers' overall pitching has struggled this season, with an ERA of 4.49, ranking 26th in the league.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers (MIA) | 1-9 | 4.59 | 84 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6-5 | 3.88 | 138 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Marlins are one of the league's better-hitting teams, ranking 6th in hits (883) and 8th in runs (487). They have a team batting average of .254, which ranks 5th. Their pitching staff has also been strong, with an ERA of 3.74, ranking 8th. The Marlins' bullpen is particularly effective, with 35 saves, ranking 3rd in the league. Defensively, they have committed 54 errors, which is tied for 14th.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have struggled offensively, ranking 29th in runs (362) and tied for 17th in hits (811). Their team batting average is .236, ranking 21st. The pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.49, placing them 26th. The Brewers' bullpen has only managed 20 saves, ranking 27th. Defensively, Milwaukee has committed 71 errors, the second most in the league.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Weathers | SP | Tue, Jul 23 | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| J. Simpson | RP | Tue, Jul 23 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ross | SP | Thu, Jul 25 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
| D. Williams | RP | Thu, Jul 25 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| D. Hall | SP | Thu, Jul 25 | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W8-4 F/12 | W |
| @ Minnesota | W8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | L3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 hits for Bryan De La Cruz (-180)
Given Bryan De La Cruz's consistent performance this season and Freddy Peralta's tendency to allow home runs, De La Cruz is likely to get at least one hit in this game. His ability to drive the ball and Peralta's vulnerability to giving up hits make this a favorable prop bet.
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