Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 1:42:21 AM
Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals
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Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs face off against the Kansas City Royals on July 28th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The Cubs, with a 57-48 record, have been solid this season, especially at home with a 36-21 record. They rank 7th in ERA (3.72) and 10th in AVG (.251), indicative of their balanced performance both on the mound and at the plate.
On the other hand, the Kansas City Royals have had a tougher season with a 50-56 record. Although their home record stands at a decent 27-25, their overall hitting stats are less impressive with a .232 AVG, ranking 26th. They also rank 24th in hits (809) and runs (424), highlighting some struggles offensively.
The Cubs have won 57 games this season and are ranked 7th in wins, while the Royals have won 50 games, placing them 23rd. The pitching duel is set to be an exciting one with Cole Ragans (7-6, 3.23 ERA, 146 K) taking the mound for the Cubs and Javier Assad (4-3, 3.15 ERA, 81 K) starting for the Royals.
Both teams have key players to watch. For the Cubs, Ian Happ leads the team with 60 RBIs, and Seiya Suzuki has the highest batting average at .271. The Royals’ Bobby Witt Jr. has an impressive .342 average and 71 RBIs, while Salvador Perez leads in home runs with 19.
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Player Prop Odds
For Adam Frazier, the prop odds are as follows:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+200)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-180)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)
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Player Analysis
Adam Frazier has been a consistent performer this season with a notable ability to get on base. His hitting stats have been impressive, and he has often been a key contributor to his team's offensive efforts. Frazier's ability to hit for average and find gaps in the defense makes him a significant threat at the plate.
Opposing Analysis
Frazier will face Cole Ragans, who has been solid on the mound for the Cubs with a 3.23 ERA and 146 strikeouts. Ragans has shown the ability to control the game and limit hits, making it a challenging matchup for Frazier. However, Frazier's skillset and approach at the plate could give him the edge to find success against Ragans.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (CHC) | 7-6 | 3.23 | 146 |
| Javier Assad (KC) | 4-3 | 3.15 | 81 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs have a team batting average of .251, ranking 10th in the league. They are 13th in hits with 865 and tied for 10th in runs with 483. Key hitters include Seiya Suzuki (.271 AVG) and Ian Happ (60 RBIs).
Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has been reliable with 24 saves, ranking tied for 19th. They have a team ERA of 3.72, placing them 7th in the league.
Fielding: The Cubs have committed 49 errors, ranking tied for 23rd. Their fielding has been a point of concern this season.
Starting Pitchers: The Cubs' starting rotation has been strong, with Cole Ragans (3.23 ERA, 146 K) leading the charge.
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals have struggled offensively with a team batting average of .232, ranking 26th. They are 24th in hits (809) and runs (424). Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout with a .342 average and 71 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Royals have 23 saves, ranking tied for 22nd. Their bullpen has a team ERA of 3.73, which is 8th in the league.
Fielding: The Royals have committed 53 errors, ranking 17th. Their fielding has been relatively stable compared to their hitting.
Starting Pitchers: Javier Assad has been a reliable starter with a 3.15 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He will look to continue his solid performance against the Cubs.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 (Shoulder) |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 (Forearm) |
| Josh Taylor | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 (Biceps) |
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L3-0 | L |
| vs Arizona | W2-1 F/10 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | W3-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | L1-0 | L |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W7-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W6-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W4-1 | W |
| vs Arizona | W10-4 | W |
| vs Arizona | L6-2 | L |
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Prediction
Considering Adam Frazier's consistent performance and the odds available, the best value appears to be on the following prop:
Pick: Adam Frazier Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Frazier's ability to get on base and his matchup against Cole Ragans make this a viable pick. While Ragans has been strong, Frazier's hitting mechanics and recent form suggest he could achieve this over.
Photo Credit: © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
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