Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/28

Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/28

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Photo Credit: © Rhona Wise-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets are set to face off on Sunday, July 28, 2025, at 1:40 p.m. EDT at Citi Field in Queens, New York. This game marks the tenth meeting between these two teams this season, with the Mets currently leading the season series 5-4. The Mets have a slight edge in the series thus far, winning two of the last three games against the Braves.

The Mets come into this game with an overall record of 55-49 and a home record of 28-27. They have been strong defensively, boasting a 25-10 record in games where they did not allow a home run. However, they have struggled offensively, ranking 21st in runs scored (428) and 18th in batting average (.240).

On the other hand, the Braves have a 55-48 overall record and a 25-27 road record. The Braves' pitching staff has been a highlight, with a collective ERA of 3.50, the second-best in the National League. Offensively, the Braves rank 5th in runs scored (504) and 11th in batting average (.249).

Both teams are dealing with several injuries that could impact their performances. The Mets have multiple key players on the injured list, including Kodai Senga (calf), Shintaro Fujinami (shoulder), and Starling Marte (knee). The Braves are also missing key players such as Michael Harris II (hamstring), Ozzie Albies (wrist), and Ronald Acuna Jr. (knee).

With both teams battling for position in the NL East, this game promises to be a competitive matchup. The Mets will look to extend their lead in the season series, while the Braves will aim to even the score.

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Player Prop Odds

For Sunday's game, the player prop odds for David Peterson to record a win are +210 for Yes and -295 for No.

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Player Analysis

David Peterson has been a reliable arm for the New York Mets this season. With a record of 5-0, an ERA of 3.14, and a WHIP of 1.48, Peterson has demonstrated his ability to keep opposing hitters at bay. In his 48.2 innings pitched, he has struck out 36 batters while allowing 49 hits and 23 walks. Despite a higher-than-desired WHIP, Peterson has managed to limit the damage and maintain an undefeated record.

Peterson's performance has been particularly strong in high-leverage situations, and his ability to pitch out of jams has been a key factor in his success. His pitching style, which relies on inducing ground balls and limiting hard contact, has been effective against a variety of lineups.

Opposing Analysis

Peterson will face a formidable Braves lineup that has been one of the best in the league this season. The Braves rank 5th in runs scored (504) and 11th in batting average (.249). Key hitters in the Braves' lineup include Austin Riley, who has 13 home runs and 40 RBIs, and Marcell Ozuna, who has been on a tear recently, going 13-for-35 with four home runs over the past 10 games.

However, the Braves have struggled in their last 10 games, posting a .213 batting average and being outscored by 17 runs. This recent slump could play to Peterson's advantage as he looks to continue his unbeaten streak.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Reynaldo Lopez (ATL)	7-4	2.12	100
David Peterson (NYM)	5-0	3.14	36

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

Hitting

The Braves have been solid offensively this season, ranking 5th in runs scored (504) and 11th in batting average (.249). Key contributors include Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna, who have provided power and run production. The team has a collective 884 hits, ranking 9th in the league.

Relief Pitching

The Braves' bullpen has been effective, posting a 3.50 ERA, the second-best in the National League. They have recorded 28 saves, ranking 9th in the league. The bullpen's ability to close out games has been a crucial factor in their success.

Fielding

Defensively, the Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in the league. Their solid fielding has helped support their pitching staff and limit opponents' scoring opportunities.

Starting Pitchers

The Braves' starting rotation has been one of the best in the league, with a collective ERA of 3.50. Reynaldo Lopez has been a standout, posting a 7-4 record with a 2.12 ERA and 100 strikeouts. His ability to dominate on the mound has been a key factor in the Braves' success.

New York Mets

Hitting

The Mets have struggled offensively, ranking 21st in runs scored (428) and 18th in batting average (.240). Pete Alonso has been a bright spot, with 24 doubles, 20 home runs, and 53 RBIs. The team will need contributions from other hitters to support their pitching staff.

Relief Pitching

The Mets' bullpen has been solid, posting a 3.52 ERA, the third-best in the league. They have recorded 26 saves, ranking 14th in the league. The bullpen's ability to hold leads and keep games close has been a strength.

Fielding

Defensively, the Mets have committed 45 errors, ranking 27th in the league. Their fielding has been a weakness, and they will need to tighten up defensively to support their pitching staff.

Starting Pitchers

The Mets' starting rotation has been effective, with a collective ERA of 3.52. David Peterson has been a reliable arm, posting a 5-0 record with a 3.14 ERA. His ability to pitch deep into games and limit damage has been crucial for the Mets.

Team Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Michael Harris II	OF	Hamstring	60-Day IL
Ozzie Albies	2B	Wrist	10-Day IL
Max Fried	SP	Forearm	15-Day IL
Ronald Acuna Jr.	OF	Knee	60-Day IL

New York Mets

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Kodai Senga	SP	Calf	15-Day IL
Shintaro Fujinami	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Starling Marte	OF	Knee	10-Day IL

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ New York	4-0	W
@ New York	8-4	L
@ New York	3-2	L
vs Cincinnati	9-4	L
vs Cincinnati	Postponed	Postponed

New York Mets

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Atlanta	4-0	W
vs Atlanta	8-4	W
vs Atlanta	3-2	W
@ New York Yankees	12-3	W
@ New York Yankees	3-2	W

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Prediction

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