Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/27

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 27, 2024, 8:26:28 AM
Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/27


Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves (54-48, third in the NL East) will face off against the New York Mets (55-48, second in the NL East) on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. EDT. The Braves are currently looking to end a six-game losing streak, while the Mets aim to solidify their standing in the NL East.
In their recent performances, the Mets have been strong at home with a 28-26 record, and an impressive 38-15 record when scoring five or more runs. The Braves, on the other hand, have a 24-27 record on the road and have excelled in games where they out-hit their opponents, boasting a 40-8 record in such instances. This game marks the ninth meeting between these teams this season, with the Mets holding a 5-3 advantage in the series.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the prop odds for Adam Duvall:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+480)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-160)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+480)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+165)
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Player Analysis
Adam Duvall has been a consistent power hitter for the Braves this season. He has a batting average of .249 with 20 home runs and 60 RBIs. Duvall's ability to hit for power makes him a significant threat in any lineup. In his last ten games, he has recorded 11 hits, including four doubles and two home runs, showcasing his ability to generate extra-base hits.
Opposing Analysis
The New York Mets will start Spencer Schwellenbach, who holds a 3-5 record with a 4.62 ERA and 49 strikeouts over 50.2 innings pitched. Schwellenbach has shown vulnerability against power hitters, allowing seven home runs this season. The Mets' bullpen has been relatively strong, but their starting pitching has been inconsistent, which could provide opportunities for Duvall to capitalize early in the game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (NYM) | 3-5 | 4.62 | 49 |
| Tylor Megill (ATL) | 2-4 | 5.08 | 49 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking fifth in runs scored (504) and ninth in hits (884). Their batting average of .249 places them 11th in the league. The Braves' relief pitching has 28 saves, tying them for ninth place, but their team ERA of 4.15 ranks 21st, indicating struggles on the mound.
New York Mets
The Mets' offense has been less potent, ranking 21st in runs scored (428) and 18th in hits (825). Their team batting average of .240 also places them 18th. However, the Mets excel in pitching, with a team ERA of 3.52, ranking third in the league. Their relief pitching has 26 saves, tying them for 14th place.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | Hamstring | 60-Day IL |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Wrist | 10-Day IL |
| Max Fried | SP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | RF | Knee | 60-Day IL |
New York Mets
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | SP | Calf | Day-to-day |
| Shintaro Fujinami | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Dedniel Nunez | RP | Pronator | 15-Day IL |
| Harrison Bader | CF | Ankle | Day-to-day |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | W 3-2 F/10 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | L |
New York Mets
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Miami | L 6-4 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Batter Hits (-160) for Adam Duvall
Adam Duvall has been a reliable hitter for the Braves and has shown consistency in getting on base. Given his recent form and the Mets’ starting pitching struggles, taking the over 0.5 hits at -160 odds seems like a solid bet. Duvall’s ability to capitalize on weaker pitches and generate hits makes this a favorable prop pick.
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