Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/27

Daily MLB Player Props Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/27

Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves are set to face the New York Mets on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled for a 4:10 p.m. EDT start. The Braves are currently third in the NL East with a 54-48 record, while the Mets hold a slightly better 55-48 record, placing them second in the division. Both teams are looking to solidify their positions as they approach the end of the season.

Atlanta is desperately seeking to end their six-game losing streak. The Braves have struggled on the road with a 24-27 record away from home, although they have a solid 40-8 record when they out-hit their opponents. The Mets, on the other hand, have been strong at home, boasting a 28-26 record at Citi Field. They also have a remarkable 38-15 record in games where they scored five or more runs.

This is the ninth meeting between these two teams this season, with the Mets currently leading the series 5-3. The Braves will be looking to turn the tide and gain some momentum going forward.

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Player Prop Odds

For this matchup, we are focusing on prop bets for Jarred Kelenic. Here are the available odds:

• Batter Doubles (Over 0.5): +390
• Batter Hits (Over 1.5): +260
• Batter RBIs (Over 0.5): +185
• Batter Runs Scored (Over 0.5): -130
• Batter Singles (Over 0.5): -120
• Batter Stolen Bases (Over 0.5): +370
• Batter Total Bases (Over 1.5): +130

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Player Analysis

Jarred Kelenic has shown flashes of brilliance this season. With a batting average of .240, he has managed to contribute significantly to the Mets' offense. Kelenic has 15 home runs and 47 RBIs to his name, showcasing his ability to drive in runs. He also has a slugging percentage of .420, which indicates his potential to hit for extra bases.

Kelenic has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, and with Spencer Schwellenbach starting for the Braves, this could be a favorable matchup for him. His recent form has been impressive, as he has been getting on base consistently and contributing in key moments.

Opposing Analysis

Spencer Schwellenbach (3-5, 4.62 ERA) will be on the mound for the Braves. Schwellenbach has had an up-and-down season, struggling with consistency. His 1.16 WHIP and 4.62 ERA suggest that he can be prone to giving up hits and runs. The Mets' lineup, which includes dangerous hitters like Francisco Lindor and Jose Iglesias, will look to exploit this.

The Braves' bullpen has also been shaky, with an ERA of 4.15, ranking 21st in the league. This could provide additional opportunities for Kelenic and the Mets' offense to capitalize on scoring chances.

Pitching Probables

Here are the probable pitchers for both teams:

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	K
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL)	3-5	4.62	49
Tylor Megill (NYM)	2-4	5.08	49

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

Hitting: The Braves' offense has been strong overall, ranking 5th in the league with 504 runs. Marcell Ozuna has been a standout, leading the team with a .308 batting average, 29 home runs, and 81 RBIs. The team will need contributions from other key players to snap their losing streak.

Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has been inconsistent, with a 4.15 ERA. They have struggled to close out games, which has been a factor in their recent losses.

Fielding: The Braves have committed 70 errors this season, ranking 3rd in the league. This is an area they will need to improve to support their pitching staff.

Starting Pitchers: Spencer Schwellenbach (3-5, 4.62 ERA) will need to deliver a strong performance to give the Braves a chance. His season has been marked by inconsistency, and he will be looking to find his form against the Mets.

New York Mets

Hitting: The Mets' offense has been solid, with Francisco Lindor and Jose Iglesias leading the charge. Lindor has 22 home runs and a .480 slugging percentage, while Iglesias has been hot recently, going 17-for-37 with two home runs in the last 10 games.

Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has been effective, with a 3.52 ERA, ranking 3rd in the league. They have been able to close out games and provide stability in late innings.

Fielding: The Mets have committed only 45 errors this season, ranking 27th in the league. Their solid defense has been a key factor in their success.

Starting Pitchers: Tylor Megill (2-4, 5.08 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mets. Megill has shown flashes of potential but will need to be more consistent to shut down the Braves' offense.

Team Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Michael Harris II	OF	Hamstring	60-Day IL
Ozzie Albies	2B	Wrist	10-Day IL
Max Fried	SP	Forearm	15-Day IL
Ronald Acuna Jr.	OF	Knee	60-Day IL

New York Mets

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Kodai Senga	SP	Calf	Day-to-Day
Shintaro Fujinami	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Harrison Bader	CF	Ankle	Day-to-Day

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ New York	4-8	L
@ New York	2-3	L
vs Cincinnati	4-9	L
vs Cincinnati	Postponed	Postponed
vs Cincinnati	1-4	L

New York Mets

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Atlanta	8-4	W
vs Atlanta	3-2	W
@ New York	12-3	W
@ New York	3-2	W
@ Miami	6-4	W

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Prediction

Given the current form of both teams and the favorable matchup for Jarred Kelenic against Spencer Schwellenbach, we predict that Kelenic will have a productive game. The Mets' recent hot streak and the Braves' inconsistent pitching further support this.

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