Daily MLB Moneyline Picks: Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:45:10 PM
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Daily MLB Moneyline Picks: Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Game Summary
The Houston Astros are set to host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Minute Maid Park on July 29, 2024. This matchup features two teams with different aspirations in the league. The Astros, currently holding a record of 55-49, are looking to solidify their playoff position in the competitive AL West. They come into this game after a recent run of form that has seen them split their last ten games, showcasing both strengths in hitting and pitching. Their lineup is powered by Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez, who are key contributors to their offensive output.
On the other hand, the Pirates have a record of 52-52, sitting in a middle ground in the NL Central. They are hoping to make a late push for a wild card spot and will rely heavily on their pitching staff, especially the young star, Paul Skenes, who has been performing exceptionally well with an ERA of 1.93. The Pirates' recent performances have shown flashes of brilliance, but they need to maintain consistency against a formidable Astros team. This game is crucial for both teams as they navigate through the second half of the season, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | N/A |
| Houston Astros Spread | +1.5 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Spread | -1.5 |
| Houston Astros Moneyline | +134 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline | -158 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6-1 | 1.93 | 0.87 | 74.2 | 52 | 97 | 13 | 8 |
| Jake Bloss (HOU) | 0-1 | 6.94 | 1.63 | 11.2 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 5 |
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Team Previews
Houston Astros
The Houston Astros have been a force in Major League Baseball, boasting a strong lineup led by stars like Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez. As of now, they are ranked second in the league in hits with 939 and have a solid batting average of .263, placing them high in offensive production. Their pitching staff holds an ERA of 4.00, which is respectable but has shown vulnerability at times, particularly in games where their starters do not go deep into the game.
In terms of bullpen performance, the Astros have managed to secure 25 saves, ranking them tied for 17th in the league. Their recent struggles have been evident, especially in their last five games where they have lost several close matchups. The absence of key players due to injuries could also impact their performance moving forward.
Pittsburgh Pirates
On the flip side, the Pittsburgh Pirates have shown resilience throughout the season. They rank 25th in total hits with 815 and have an average of .232, indicating a need for improvement in their offensive capabilities. However, they have a strong pitching lineup led by Paul Skenes, who has been exceptional with a 1.93 ERA and a WHIP of 0.87, ranking him among the top pitchers in the league.
The Pirates’ bullpen has also been effective, accumulating 26 saves this season. Their recent form has been mixed, but they have the potential to surprise teams when their pitching staff is on point. If they can support Skenes with some offensive production, they have a good chance against the Astros.
Team Injuries
Houston Astros
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Sousa | RP | Shoulder | Out for the season |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 2B | Groin | Expected to be out until at least Sep 2 |
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Betting Trends
- The Astros are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- The Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The Astros are 30-21 at home this season.
- The Pirates are 26-26 on the road this season.
- The Pirates have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
Recent Games
Houston Astros Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | W 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | W 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | L 6-4 | L |
| @ Oakland | L 4-0 | L |
| @ Oakland | L 8-2 | L |
Pittsburgh Pirates Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | 2nd | 15th | 17th | 29th |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 25th | 11th | 14th | 20th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Astros are 4-6 in their last 10 games against the Pirates.
- The Pirates have won 5 of their last 7 games against right-handed pitchers.
- The Astros are 53-51 against the spread this season.
- The Pirates are 58-45 against the spread this season.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the last 5 Astros games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 Pirates games.
- The Pirates are 16-12 in their last 28 games as an underdog.
- The Astros are 3-7 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Paul Skenes has a 0.87 WHIP this season.
- The Pirates have the 11th best ERA in the league at 3.83.
Weather
Cloudy, 87°F
Prediction
Given the current form and the pitching matchup, the Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game with a strong advantage, especially with Paul Skenes on the mound. His low ERA and WHIP suggest he can dominate the Astros' lineup, which has shown inconsistency. Meanwhile, Jake Bloss has struggled significantly with an ERA over 6.94. This could lead to a solid performance from the Pirates' hitters if they can capitalize on Bloss's mistakes. The Astros' recent form does not inspire confidence, and the Pirates will be looking to make a statement. Therefore, the pick is for the Pirates to win.
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
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