Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 14 (7/14): MLB

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 14 (7/14): MLB

Credit: photo by  John Leyba-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 3:10 p.m. EST
Rockies money line +113
Rockies run line +1.5 (-130)
Padres money line -135
Padres run line -1.5 (+110)
Over / under 11.5

 

Key stats

  Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres
Record 40-49 50-40
Home / road record 25-22 27-20
Last 10 record 5-5 4-6
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 41-39-6 38-46-2
Runs / game 4.43 4.34
Runs allowed / game 5.34 3.91

 

Preview

The Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres will play the 4th game of the series at the Coors Field on Thursday. The Rockies got the win 10-6 on Wednesday's game to take the lead 2-1 on the series. José Iglesias drove in a career-high six runs with a homer and two singles. The Rockies are now 7-3 against the Padres this season.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies get here with a 40-49 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.43 runs per game and they're batting for .257 AVG, have 381 runs scored in 759 hits and 70 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. CJ Cron is leading the team with 20 home runs and 66 RBI and a batting average of .297.

Defensively they are allowing 5.34 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Chad Kuhl leads the pitching staff with a 4.02 ERA, 63 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded for the Rockies.

Probable Pitcher:

Kyle Freeland (4-7, 4.70 ERA) will be on the mound for the Rockies in the 4th game of the series. Freeland took the loss against the Diamondbacks on Saturday. In 6.1 innings, he allowed six runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out three. He's only allowed a half-dozen or more runs in a start twice this season, but he's rarely been dominant. He is 5-5 with an ERA of 3.99 and 62 strikeouts in 17 appearances against the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 50-40 record and lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.34 runs per game and they're batting for .239 AVG, have 378 runs scored in 704 hits and 70 home runs, ranking #16 in offense in the league behind the Chicago Cubs. Manny Machado is leading the team with 14 home runs and 50 RBI and a batting average of .309.

Defensively they are allowing 3.91 runs per game and rank #7 in the league. Joe Musgrove leads the pitching staff with a 2.09 ERA, 98 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:

Blake Snell (1-5, 4.66 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 4th game of the series. Snell (1-5) earned the win against the Giants on Friday, allowing one run on three hits and two walks while striking out 11. This was his second consecutive start with double-digit strikeouts, and his third six-inning outing this season. He has a 2-1 record with an ERA of 3.89 and 53 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Rockies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego Padres are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Colorado.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games against San Diego.

Colorado Rockies are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.

Prediction

The Padres continue to struggle against the Rockies on the road as they have lost 12 of the last 13 games in Colorado. They'll try to tie this series by sending Blake Snell to the mound who's coming from a good start against the Dodgers but has struggled this season vs Rockies as he allowed 4 runs in 4.2 innings the last time he faced them. The Rockies offense has been responding as they have scored 25 runs in the first 3 games of the series. Kyle Freeland will take the ball and he's not having a good season so far and the Rockies have lost in his last 2 starts. Even with Snell coming from a good start I can't trust in the Padres as they haven't won a game yet when Snell has started so I think the best play is the over as both offenses have responded well on this series.

PICK: Over 11.5 (-110)

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