Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 28 (4/28): MLB

Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 28 (4/28): MLB

Credit: photo by John Geliebter-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:05 p.m. EST
Rockies money line +170
Rockies run line +1.5 (-125)
Phillies money line -185
Phillies run line -1.5 (-105)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Colorado Rockies Philadelphia Phillies
Record 10-8 9-10
Road / home record 4-4 7-5
Last 10 record 4-6 6-4
Streak L3 W3
Over / under record 8-9-1 9-8-2
Runs / game 4.47 4.56
Runs allowed / game 5.18 4.44
 

Preview

The Colorado Rockies and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the fourth game of the series at the Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The Phillies have won the first 3 games to secure the series. Byrce Harper had a triple among his three hits, Odubel Herrera homered and drove in two runs, and the Philadelphia Phillies won their third straight over the Colorado Rockies, 7-3 on Wednesday night.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies get here with a 10-8 record and have lost 3 straight games. The team is averaging 4.47 runs while allowing 5.18 runs per game. CJ Cron leads the team with 7 home runs and 18 RBI while Connor Joe is batting for a .290 AVG.

Feltner, making his first start of the season pitched for five innings, allowing four runs on seven hits with seven strikeouts and two walks.

Probable Pitcher: 

Antonio Senzatela (1-1, 4.73 ERA) will start for the Rockies in the 4th game of the series. Senzatela allowed five earned runs on 10 hits and no walks while striking out three across five innings to take the loss in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader against Detroit. In his last 3 games against the Phillies he has a 3.93 ERA and 9 strikeouts across 16 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get here with a 9-10 record after beating the Rockies 3 times and secured the series. The offense is on fire and is averaging 4.44 runs per game while allowing 4.53 runs. Bryce Harper leads the team in RBI's with 13. Nick Castellanos is batting for .329 avg and Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 4 home runs and 11 RBI. 

Ranger Suarez pitched for 6 innings and allowed three runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and a walk.

Probable Pitcher:

Zack Wheeler (0-3, 8.53 ERA) will be on the mound for the Phillies in the 4th game of the series. Wheeler took the loss Saturday, giving up four runs on seven hits over five innings as the Phillies fell 5-3 to the Brewers. He struck out five without walking a batter. He started one game against the Rockies last season and allowed only one run across 6.2 innings and struck out 8 batters.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games.

Colorado are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

Philadelphia are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games at home.

Philadelphia are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Colorado.

Prediction

I'm 3-0 in this series and I've been pounding the over but I might change it for this game as they're sending 2 good pitchers who struggled in their last starts but there's a reason why the O/U line is at 7.5. I don't think the Phillies will blowout again the Rockies but with Colorado batters struggling at the plate I'm going with the Phillies for the sweep.

PICK: Phillies ML (-185)

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