Kingpin analysis
Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Moneyline Prediction 8/26

Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Moneyline Prediction 8/26
Read our expert moneyline pick for the Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins game tonight. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.
Game Summary
The Colorado Rockies (48-83) will host the Miami Marlins (47-83) in a matchup that opens a four-game series at Coors Field in Denver on August 26, 2025, at 8:40 p.m. EDT. This contest features two teams currently sitting at the bottom of their respective divisions, with the Rockies in the fifth position in the NL West and the Marlins in the fifth position in the NL East. Both teams have struggled throughout the season, posting identical overall records, which adds a layer of intrigue to this matchup.
Both teams have faced challenges, but the Rockies have fared slightly better at home, with a record of 29-33 compared to the Marlins' 22-39 on the road. The Rockies have shown that they can be competitive at Coors Field, but they will need to improve on their overall record of 31-60 in games when they allow at least one home run. On the other hand, the Marlins have a decent record of 28-17 when scoring five or more runs, showcasing their potential if they can get their offense rolling.
This game marks the fourth meeting between these two teams this season, with the previous matchups likely influencing how each team approaches this game. The Rockies have some key players to watch, including Brenton Doyle, who has delivered an impressive performance with 22 doubles, four triples, and 21 home runs this season. Meanwhile, Jake Burger leads the Marlins with 25 home runs, adding power to their lineup.
Recent form shows the Rockies at 4-6 in their last ten games with a .224 batting average and a 5.19 ERA, while the Marlins have struggled even more, going 2-8 with a .253 batting average and a 6.52 ERA. Both teams are looking to turn their fortunes around, making this game crucial for momentum as the season winds down.
As the series begins, both teams will be focused on securing a win to boost their morale and standings. The Rockies will rely on their home-field advantage, while the Marlins will look to correct their recent struggles and capitalize on any mistakes made by Colorado's pitching staff. The matchup will feature Edward Cabrera (2-5, 5.65 ERA) for the Marlins, while Tanner Gordon is expected to start for the Rockies but has yet to record a decision this season.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rockies -108, Marlins -108 |
| Over/Under | 10.5 runs |
| Spread | Even |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts | Innings Pitched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 2-5 | 5.65 | 1.47 | 73 | 65.1 |
| Tanner Gordon (COL) | 0-0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Team Previews
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies have struggled significantly this season, with a team batting average of .243 and an overall record of 48-83. They rank 15th in hits (1076) and tied for 19th in runs (553). Their starting pitching has been a significant issue, with a team ERA of 5.53, ranking them 30th overall. The Rockies' hitting has been inconsistent, but players like Brenton Doyle and Michael Toglia have provided some pop in the lineup. Doyle’s impressive numbers include 21 home runs and a solid .273 batting average, making him a key player for Colorado as they approach this matchup.
Colorado's bullpen has also struggled, reflecting their overall performance. The team has a WHIP of 1.50, indicating they have allowed too many baserunners. They will need to tighten up defensively and get more consistent performances from their pitchers if they hope to secure a win against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have similarly faced challenges this season, holding a record of 47-83 with a batting average of .239. They rank 18th in hits (1050) and 29th in runs (483), highlighting their offensive struggles. Jake Burger shines as a standout player with 25 home runs and a .471 slugging percentage, but getting consistent offensive support has been a challenge. Their pitching staff has been more reliable than the Rockies, with an ERA of 4.70, ranking them 28th overall, although they have also faced their fair share of struggles.
The Marlins' bullpen has been inconsistent, but they have shown flashes of potential, especially when they maintain their composure during high-pressure situations. With Cabrera on the mound, Miami will look to capitalize on any opportunities to score early and maintain their lead throughout the game.
Team Injuries
Colorado Rockies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| German Marquez | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Victor Vodnik | RP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Kris Bryant | LF | Back | 10-Day IL |
| Dakota Hudson | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Ryan Feltner | SP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Daniel Bard | RP | Knee | 60-Day IL |
| Antonio Senzatela | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | OF | Ankle | 60-Day IL |
| Andrew Nardi | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Xavier Edwards | SS | Back | Day-to-Day |
| Anthony Bender | RP | Undisclosed | 15-Day IL |
| Braxton Garrett | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Finger | 60-Day IL |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Jesus Luzardo | SP | Back | 60-Day IL |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Eury Perez | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Sandy Alcantara | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Betting Trends
- The Rockies are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
- Rockies are 31-60 in games allowing a home run.
- Marlins are 28-17 when scoring five or more runs.
- Colorado has a 29-33 home record this season.
- Miami has a 22-39 road record this season.
Recent Games
Colorado Rockies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | L 10-3 | L |
| @ New York | W 9-2 | W |
| @ New York | L 3-0 | L |
| @ Washington | L 8-3 | L |
| @ Washington | L 6-1 | L |
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W 7-2 | W |
| vs Chicago | L 14-2 | L |
| vs Chicago | L 6-3 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | L 9-5 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | W 5-0 | W |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 15th | 30th | 21st | 23rd |
| Miami Marlins | 19th | 28th | 29th | 20th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Rockies are 5-15 in their last 20 games.
- The Marlins are 3-17 in their last 20 games.
- Colorado is 10-4 in their last 14 home games against Miami.
- Miami is 2-8 in their last 10 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rockies' last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.
- Over is 5-2 in Marlins' last 7 games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
Weather
Intermittent clouds with a temperature of 97°F expected during the game.
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