Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 7 (10/7): MLB

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 7 (10/7): MLB


Time 12:07 p.m. EST
Rays money line -105
Rays run line +1.5 (-225)
Guardians money line -115
Guardians run line -1.5 (+185)
Over / under 6


Key stats

  Tampa Bay Rays  Cleveland Guardians
Record 86-76 92-70
Home / road record 35-46 46-35
Last 10 record 2-8 7-3
Streak L5 W2
Over / under record 72-80-10 76-78-8
Runs / game 4.11 4.31
Runs allowed / game 3.79 3.91



The AL Central division champion Cleveland Guardians will host the Tampa Bay Rays to play the 1st game of the AL Wild Card Series at the Progressive Field. These teams faced 6 times in the regular season and the Guardians won both series 2-1 at home and on the road. 


Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays get here with a 86-76 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.11 runs per game. They're batting for .239 AVG, 666 runs scored in 1294 hits and 139 home runs, ranking #18 in offense in the league behind the Chicago White Sox. Randy Arozarena leads the team in home runs with 20 and 89 RBI while Yandy Diaz is batting for .295.

Defensively they are allowing 3.74 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Shane McClanahan leads the pitching staff with a 2.54 ERA, 194 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded with the Rays.

Probable Pitcher:  Shane McClanahan (12-8, 2.54 ERA)

McClanahan will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Rays. McClanahan allowed two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out two over five innings, taking the loss Saturday versus the Astros. He has allowed 5 runs on 7 hits with 3 walks and 4 strikeouts in 4.1 innings against the Guardians in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 92-70 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. They're averaging 4.17 runs and batting for .254 AVG, 698 runs scored in 1410 hits and 127 home runs, ranking #22 in offense, behind the Minnesota Twins. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .285 avg, 29 home runs and 126 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.99 runs per game and ranking #8 in the league. Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with a 2.88 ERA, 198 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Guardians.

Probable Pitcher: Shane Bieber (13-8, 2.88 ERA)

Bieber will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Blue Jays. Bieber earned the win Sunday against Kansas City, striking out three in five innings while allowing two runs (one earned) on seven hits and a walk. He has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.22 and 48 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Rays in his career.



Tampa Bay are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games.

Tampa Bay are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games against Cleveland.

Tampa Bay are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 6 games.

Cleveland are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home.



The Rays struggled at the end of the regular season as they lost 8 of the last 10 games scoring an average of 2.4 runs per game on that strecht and are 2-4 vs Guardians this season. Shane McClanahan will start for the Rays who was solid at the start of the season but struggled in their last outings and was pounded by the Guardians. The Guardians have been on fire lately averaging over 5 runs per game in the last 10 games. Shane Bieber will take the mound for this game who has been solid all season and the Guardians have won in 5 of his last 6 starts. With the home field advantage and they way they have been playing, the Guardians should win this game.

PICK: Guardians ML (-115)

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