Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 11 (4/11): MLB

Credit: photo by Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

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Preview

The Cleveland Guardians and the Kansas City Royals will play the fourth game of the series on Monday at the Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium in Kansas. The Royals won the first 2 games of the series but the Guardians outscored them 17-3 in the third game.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians lost the first 2 games of the series but then the batters woke up in the third game scoring 17 runs to win the game. Oscar Mercado hit a grand slam during a five-RBI performance and Owen Miller drove in a career-high four runs. The rookie Steven Kwan went 5 for 5, four singles and a double, was hit by a pitch and scored four runs. The 24-year-old outfielder made his major league debut on opening day and is 8 for 10 in three games so far, reaching base in 12 of 14 plate appearances.

Cal Quantrill recorded the win, allowing two runs on four hits and one walk while striking out two.

Probable Pitcher: 

Aaron Civale (0-0, 0.0 ERA) will start the 4th game of the series for the Guardians. Civale was excellent in his second spring start. He's allowed three runs, five hits and a walk across seven innings through those two appearances. Civale was limited to 124.1 innings in 21 starts last year, recording a 3.84 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 99:31 K:BB while missing time to a finger sprain in the second half of the campaign. In his last 3 games against the Royals he's allowed 11 runs in 17 innings with 12 strikeouts.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals won the first two game of the series with low scoring games and couldn't do much in the third game. Kris Bubic lasted just 0.2 innings in the defeat, allowing an ugly five runs on three hits and two walks. Michael Taylor had two hits and scored a run and the Royals rookie Bobby Witt Jr. hit a two-run double.

Probable Pitcher:

Carlos Hernandez (0-0, 0-0 ERA) will be on the mound for the Royals in the 4th game of the series. Despite a tough pair of appearances so far in spring training, Hernandez is set to begin the year in the rotation. The 25-year-old showed promise in 85.2 innings last season, logging a 6-2 record, 3.68 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 74:41 K:BB across 24 appearances (11 starts). 

BETTING TRENDS

Cleveland are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.

Cleveland are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against Kansas City.

Kansas City are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games played in April.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing as the favourite.

Prediction

The Guardians finally showed their power offense in the 3rd game of the series scoring 17 runs while the Royals has struggled offensively they have been held to three or fewer runs in all three games and their All-Star catcher Salvador Perez is 0-12 at the plate. Expect a good game from Civale and the Guardians offense to stay hot to help to win the game.

PICK: Guardians ML  (-110)

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