Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 16 (7/16): MLB

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 16 (7/16): MLB

Credit: photo by Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Tigers money line +141
Tigers run line +1.5 (-145)
Guardians money line -170
Guardians run line -1.5 (+125)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Detroit Tigers Cleveland Guardians
Record 37-54 45-44
Road / home record 15-30 24-19
Last 10 record 3-7 5-5
Streak L3 W2
Over / under record 32-54-5 41-43-5
Runs / game 3.18 4.26
Runs allowed / game 4.27 4.38

Preview

The Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians will play the 3rd game of the series at the Progressive Field on Saturday. The Guardians took the win again 6-5 to take the lead 2-0 on the series.  Josh Naylor drove in two runs and Andrés Giménez delivered the go-ahead single in the seventh inning.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers get here with a 37-54 record and have lost 7 of their last 8 games. They're averaging 3.18 runs and batting for .230 AVG, 283 runs scored in 672 hits and 52 home runs, ranking #30 in offense, the worst in the league behind the Oakland Athletics. Miguel Cabrera leads the team batting for .287 AVG, Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 9 and 35 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.27 runs per game and ranking #17 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 4.11 ERA, 102 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: Michael Pineda (2-4, 4.08 ERA)

Pineda will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Tigers. Pineda allowed three runs (two earned) on seven hits across 5.1 innings to take the loss in Game 1 of Monday's doubleheader against the Royals. He had no walks and two strikeouts. He has a record of 3-0 with an ERA of 3.14 and 34 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Guardians in his career.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 45-44 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. They're averaging 4.26 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 371 runs scored in 726 hits and 66 home runs, ranking #18 in offense, the second worst in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .290 avg, 17 home runs and 68 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.38 runs per game and ranking #19 in the league. Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with a 3.24 ERA, 104 strikeouts and 4 wins recorded for the Guardians.

Probable Pitcher:  Cal Quantrill (5-5, 3.99 ERA)

Triston McKenzie will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Guardians. Quantrill struck out three batters and allowed four runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings against the White Sox. He has a 1-2 record with an ERA of 3.54 and 24 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Tigers in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Detroit Tigers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games against Detroit.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home.

Prediction

The Tigers continue to struggle and lose games as they have lost 7 of their last 8 games but they might have better chances for this game as they'll face Cal Quantrill who they already beat earlier this season. The Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 games at home vs the Tigers but they lost the last time they faced Pineda whoe held them to 2 runs across 5 innings. Great value with the Tigers money line. 

PICK:  Tigers ML (+148)

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