Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 6 (7/6): MLB

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 6 (7/6): MLB

Credit: photo by Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 6:40 p.m. EST
Mets money line -170
Mets run line -1.5 (+100)
Reds money line +141
Reds run line +1.5 (-120)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  New York Mets Cincinnati Reds
Record 50-31 28-52
Road / home record 24-18 14-26
Last 10 record 5-5 4-6
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 42-34-5 44-35-1
Runs / game 4.77 4.29
Runs allowed / game 4.05 5.55

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds will play the 3rd game of the series at the Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The Reds took the win on the second game of the series in a very close game. Scherzer had 11 strikeouts in 6 scoreless innings but the offense didn't respond. Moustakas hit a sacrifice fly to center and Pham scored to beat the Mets 1-0.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 50-31 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.77 runs per game. They're batting for .256 AVG, 377 runs scored in 679 hits and 76 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Jeff McNeil is batting for .317 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 22 home runs and 69 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 4.01 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  David Peterson (5-1, 3.24 ERA)

Peterson will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Mets. Peterson left the team after the birth of his child, but he will not miss a turn in the rotation. He'll look to continue where he left off after posting a 2.45 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and 25:2 K:BB in his last three starts.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 28-52 record and have lost 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.29 runs. They're batting for .240 AVG, 335 runs scored in 617 hits and 71 home runs, ranking #16 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Brandon Dury leads the team with 42 RBI and 16 home runs. Kyle Farmer is batting for .280 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.55 runs per game and rank #30, the worst in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.48 ERA, 102 strikeouts and 3 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher: 

Graham Ashcraft (4-2, 4.53 ERA) will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Reds. Ashcraft took the loss against the Cubs on Thursday, allowing seven runs on seven hits and two walks in 2.1 innings while striking out one batter.

BETTING TRENDS

NY Mets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.

NY Mets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.

Cincinnati Reds are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League East Division division.

Prediction

Not even Max Scherzer great performance was enough for the Mets to beat the Reds in the second game of the series but still the Reds don't convince to trud on them for this game. Ashcraft, the starter for the Reds, allowed 7 runs in his last start against the Cubs so the Mets shouldn't have a problem to get him early in the game. Peterson will start for the Mets and they have won in 8 of his 10 starts this season. Expect the Mets to bounce back and beat the Reds and cover the run line.

PICK: Mets -1.5 (+100)

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