Ceddanne Rafaela MLB Props - Red Sox vs Rockies 7/22
- Kingpin
- Jul 22, 2024, 5:36:15 PM
Ceddanne Rafaela's MLB Props - Red Sox vs Rockies 7/22
Game Summary
The Boston Red Sox (53-45, third in the AL East) will visit the Colorado Rockies (36-64, fifth in the NL West) to open a three-game series at Coors Field in Denver on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 8:40 PM EDT. The Red Sox are looking to bounce back from a tough series against the Los Angeles Dodgers, where they lost all three games, including a close 7-6 loss in extra innings. Meanwhile, the Rockies are coming off a series against the San Francisco Giants, where they managed to win two out of three games.
Historically, the Red Sox have had the upper hand in matchups against the Rockies, but playing at Coors Field offers a unique challenge with its high altitude and hitter-friendly dimensions. This season, Colorado has been notably better at home with a 22-28 record compared to their overall record. Boston, on the other hand, has been solid on the road, holding a 29-20 record away from Fenway Park.
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Ceddanne Rafaela in tonight's game:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 +285
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 +220
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 +120
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 -125
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 -115
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 -105
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Player Analysis
Ceddanne Rafaela has been a key contributor for the Red Sox, especially in the last 10 games where he has hit .333 with two doubles, a triple, and a home run. Overall, Rafaela has 12 home runs this season, and his ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for Boston. In the last 10 games, he has been particularly effective, hitting 12-for-36, which translates to a .333 average.
Opposing Analysis
Rafaela will be facing Austin Gomber from the Rockies, who has struggled this season with a 4.61 ERA and a 2-6 record. Gomber has allowed 18 home runs in 99.2 innings pitched, indicating he is prone to giving up the long ball. Additionally, the Rockies' bullpen has shown vulnerabilities, with a team ERA of 5.51, the highest in the league. This scenario sets up well for Rafaela to have a productive game.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 8-6 | 2.54 | 1.03 | 117.0 | 95 | 112 | 26 | 5 |
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 2-6 | 4.61 | 1.30 | 99.2 | 105 | 67 | 25 | 18 |
Team Previews
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have been solid offensively, ranking 14th in batting average (.243) and 21st in runs scored (416). Jarren Duran has been a standout performer, hitting .290 with 12 home runs. The team's pitching, led by Tanner Houck, has been effective with Houck sporting a 2.54 ERA and 112 strikeouts in 117 innings pitched. However, the bullpen has struggled, contributing to the team's 5.51 ERA, the highest in the league.
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies have shown flashes offensively, ranking 6th in hits (862) and 11th in runs scored (459). Brenton Doyle has been a key player, hitting .278 with 16 home runs. However, the Rockies' pitching has been a sore spot, with a team ERA of 5.51. Austin Gomber has struggled with consistency, and the bullpen has been unreliable, making it difficult for the Rockies to close out games.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder | OF | Day-to-day (shoulder) |
| Justin Slaten | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Chris Martin | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Triston Casas | 1B | 60-Day IL (rib) |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Garrett Whitlock | SP | 60-Day IL (oblique) |
| Trevor Story | SS | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Chris Murphy | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Bryant | 1B | 10-Day IL (rib) |
| Nolan Jones | 3B | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Jordan Beck | OF | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Lucas Gilbreath | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Daniel Bard | RP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Antonio Senzatela | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Los Angeles | L 4-1 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Los Angeles | L 7-6 F/11 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Los Angeles | L 9-6 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Colorado | 8:40 PM | -- |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Colorado | 8:40 PM | -- |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Colorado | 3:10 PM | -- |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs New York | 7:10 PM | -- |
| Sat, Jul 27 | vs New York | 7:15 PM | -- |
| Sun, Jul 28 | vs New York | 7:00 PM | -- |
| Mon, Jul 29 | vs Seattle | 7:10 PM | -- |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs San Francisco | W 7-3 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs San Francisco | W 4-3 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs San Francisco | L 3-2 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Boston | 8:40 PM | -- |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Boston | 8:40 PM | -- |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Boston | 3:10 PM | -- |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ San Francisco | 10:15 PM | -- |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ San Francisco | 7:05 PM | -- |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ San Francisco | 10:35 PM | -- |
| Sun, Jul 28 | @ San Francisco | 4:05 PM | -- |
| Tue, Jul 30 | @ Los Angeles | 9:38 PM | -- |
Prediction
Given Ceddanne Rafaela's recent hot streak and the favorable matchup against Austin Gomber, we recommend betting on Rafaela to hit over 1.5 total bases at -105 odds. Rafaela's ability to get on base and drive the ball makes this a valuable pick, especially considering Gomber's tendency to give up extra-base hits.
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